Do I ship it?

GamesPlatformerPlatformer + Martial Arts

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Martial-Arts Platformer?

Platformer + Martial Arts

Only 18 developers shipped a Martial-Arts Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SHINOBI: Art of Vengeance, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×13 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.7k against a market of $630. 39 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 6.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 39 announced, ×13 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + Martial Arts
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $25k → $66k → $3.7k → $1.9M → $419 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Platformer + Martial Arts: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $3.7k (exactly $3,748)
Top 25% $183k (exactly $182,578)
Top 5% $3.2M (exactly $3,206,531)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 69
Announced 39
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 80% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Martial Arts
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry 2D Platformer, Action, Metroidvania
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Side Scroller, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 8,853 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $3.7k, 1 in 4 over $180k, 1 in 20 over $3.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 7 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×13 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  2. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  3. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  5. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  6. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  7. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  10. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  12. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Nine Sols older $29.99 40,138 94% 1.2M $36M (exactly $36,112,159) RedCandleGames
Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst older $19.99 14,078 79% 422k $8.4M (exactly $8,442,577) DICE
Eastern Exorcist older $17.99 6,099 84% 183k $3.3M (exactly $3,291,630) Wildfire Game(无锡野火数字科技有限公司)
SHINOBI: Art of Vengeance $29.99 3,564 83% 107k $3.2M (exactly $3,206,531) SEGA, Lizardcube
The Legend of Tianding older $19.99 3,272 94% 98k $2.0M (exactly $1,962,218) Creative Games Computer Graphics Corpor… (Creative Games Computer Graphics Corporation, Neon Doctrine)
NINJA GAIDEN: Ragebound $24.99 2,500 92% 75k $1.9M (exactly $1,874,250) The Game Kitchen
BLADECHIMERA $14.99 1,358 88% 41k $611k (exactly $610,693) Team Ladybug, WSS playground
The Devil Within: Satgat $24.99 795 78% 24k $596k (exactly $596,012) Newcore Games
Unruly Heroes older $19.99 763 74% 23k $458k (exactly $457,571) Magic Design Studios
Samurai GUNN 2 · EA older $19.99 675 92% 20k $405k (exactly $404,797) Beau Blyth, Evan Hemsley, Nelson Boles,… (Beau Blyth, Evan Hemsley, Nelson Boles, Doseone, Adam Robezzoli, Valentin Seiche)
Poetry of Blood: Eclipse · EA $14.99 406 91% 12k $183k (exactly $182,578) ZeroGameStudio
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Empire City $24.99 105 76% 3.2k $79k (exactly $78,718) Cortopia Studios
PARRYMAN $6.99 98 62% 2.9k $21k (exactly $20,551) KIWICORN
Kick'n Hell $7.99 17 100% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) Fire Foot Studios
Ninja Five-O $24.99 5 80% 150 $3.7k (exactly $3,748) Limited Run Games, Inc.
Shadow of the Orient $9.99 5 80% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Spacelab Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.