Games › Visual Novel › Visual Novel + Magic
Should I ship a Magic Visual Novel?
Visual Novel + Magic
Of 245 developers who shipped a Magic Visual Novel in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 342 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $5.5k, ×11 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $220k, ×479 the market median. Revenue is up 25% on the market; 342 games are announced against 159 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.3k (exactly $1,317) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.5k (exactly $5,456) |
| Top 25% | $28k (exactly $27,669) |
| Top 5% | $227k (exactly $227,472) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 245 |
| Released games | 822 |
| Announced | 342 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
- Magic
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Visual Novel; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, RPG, Choices Matter
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Anime, Cute
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 94% positive over 22,153 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 8 in 10 of the 129 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 342 games are announced against 159 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Visual Novel with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + City BuilderStrong odds
- + MusicStrong odds
- + TrainsStrong odds
- + Souls-likeFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + RhythmFair
- + JRPGFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + SwordplayFair
- + GamblingFair
- + DiplomacyFair
Comparable games
Sora no Kiseki the 1st 2025 · $9.4M 
WITCH ON THE HOLY NIGHT 2023 · $8.7M 
Fate/Samurai Remnant 2023 · $6.0M 
Fate/stay night REMASTERED 2024 · $3.8M 
Magical Princess 2026 · $3.4M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sora no Kiseki the 1st | $59.99 | 5,205 97% | 156k | $9.4M (exactly $9,367,438) | Nihon Falcom | |
| | WITCH ON THE HOLY NIGHT | older | $39.99 | 7,231 98% | 217k | $8.7M (exactly $8,675,031) | TYPE-MOON, Lasengle Inc., Hunex |
| | Fate/Samurai Remnant | older | $39.99 | 5,018 90% | 151k | $6.0M (exactly $6,020,095) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | Fate/stay night REMASTERED | older | $29.99 | 4,277 95% | 128k | $3.8M (exactly $3,848,017) | TYPE-MOON, fuzz Inc. |
| | Magical Princess | $14.99 | 7,636 96% | 229k | $3.4M (exactly $3,433,909) | Neotro Inc., MAGI Inc. | |
 | The Cosmic Wheel Sisterhood | older | $17.99 | 5,606 93% | 168k | $3.0M (exactly $3,025,558) | Deconstructeam |
 | Umineko When They Cry - Question Arcs | older | $24.99 | 2,629 95% | 79k | $2.0M (exactly $1,970,961) | 07th Expansion |
 | Ys X: Nordics | $59.99 | 890 76% | 27k | $1.6M (exactly $1,601,733) | Nihon Falcom, PH3 GmbH | |
 | Tyrion Cuthbert: Attorney of the Arcane | older | $29.99 | 1,649 96% | 49k | $1.5M (exactly $1,483,605) | Diamondhenge Entertainment |
 | 9-nine-:Episode 2 | older | $19.99 | 1,948 98% | 58k | $1.2M (exactly $1,168,216) | PALETTE |
 | 美女，请别影响我成仙 | $10.99 | 3,140 93% | 94k | $1.0M (exactly $1,035,258) | 蒸汽满满工作室 | |
 | DevilConnection | $16.66 | 1,951 98% | 59k | $975k (exactly $975,110) | ChaoGames | |
 | Fate/hollow ataraxia REMASTERED | $29.99 | 949 96% | 28k | $854k (exactly $853,815) | TYPE-MOON, fuzz Inc. | |
 | The Necromancer's Tale | $24.99 | 921 91% | 28k | $690k (exactly $690,474) | Psychic Software | |
 | Mika and The Witch's Mountain | $19.99 | 671 86% | 20k | $402k (exactly $402,399) | Chibig, Nukefist | |
 | Fallen Priestess: My Sister's Demonic Bloodline | $18.99 | 622 72% | 19k | $354k (exactly $354,353) | BBQ大好き | |
 | Ys X: Proud Nordics | $69.99 | 168 75% | 5.0k | $353k (exactly $352,750) | Nihon Falcom, PH3 GmbH |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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