Do I ship it?

Games › Solitaire › Solitaire + Magic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Magic Solitaire game?

Solitaire + Magic

Of 23 developers who shipped a Magic Solitaire game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $210 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 15 developers shipped in the last year and 14 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 14 announced, ×0.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Solitaire + Magic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $1.8k → $59 → $899 → $30 → $449 → $4.9k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Solitaire + Magic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $210 (exactly $210)
Top 25% $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Top 5% $9.9k (exactly $9,880)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 81
Announced 14
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Solitaire
effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table
Magic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Solitaire; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Game, Strategy, Automation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 223 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $210, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $9.8k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Solitaire with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Female ProtagonistFair9 devs · median $3.3k · 9 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair8 devs · median $2.3k · 3 announced
  3. + ManagementFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 17 announced
  4. + Immersive SimFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  5. + MahjongFair20 devs · median $1.1k · 6 announced
  6. + RomanceFair11 devs · median $1.1k · 8 announced
  7. + CraftingFair12 devs · median $809 · 20 announced
  8. + SimulationFair56 devs · median $718 · 46 announced
  9. + FantasyFair48 devs · median $479 · 39 announced
  10. + TacticalFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  11. + SportsFair14 devs · median $479 · 5 announced
  12. + Turn-Based CombatFair26 devs · median $450 · 31 announced

All 77 pairs on the Solitaire page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Faerie Solitaire Harvest 2019 · $64k Mahjong Magic Journey 2018 · $61k Mosaics Galore 2018 · $50k Arcana Academy 2025 · $30k GLASS2 2023 · $24k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Faerie Solitaire Harvest older $14.99 143 79% 4.3k $64k (exactly $64,307) Subsoap
Mahjong Magic Journey older $14.99 136 80% 4.1k $61k (exactly $61,159) Creobit
Mosaics Galore older $14.99 111 75% 3.3k $50k (exactly $49,917) Creobit
Arcana Academy $14.99 67 71% 2.0k $30k (exactly $30,130) 2A Studio
GLASS2 older $3.99 204 76% 6.1k $24k (exactly $24,419) TeamSnowball
Picross Hansel and Gretel - Nonograms older $14.99 31 38% 930 $14k (exactly $13,941) Somer Games
1001 Jigsaw. 6 Magic Elements (拼图) older $14.99 29 79% 870 $13k (exactly $13,041) Somer Games
Mahjong Magic Journey 2 older $14.99 22 54% 660 $9.9k (exactly $9,893) Creobit
Grime&Gold $4.99 66 95% 2.0k $9.9k (exactly $9,880) Pemdora, Zakku, Spartaqui
Card Crawl Adventure older $4.99 63 80% 1.9k $9.4k (exactly $9,431) Arnold Rauers
Star and Serpent Solitaire $12.99 17 100% 510 $6.6k (exactly $6,625) Star and Serpent
Avalon Jewels 2 Collector's Edition $14.99 11 90% 330 $4.9k (exactly $4,947) Anawiki Games
CharmEdge Deck $2.99 28 92% 840 $2.5k (exactly $2,512) ChuQingHun
Argonauts Path · EA $6.99 8 100% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) LittlePaladinGames
Monster Girls Pieces $1.99 18 72% 540 $1.1k (exactly $1,075) Rodrigo Piedras
Cursed House 7 $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) LGT SIA
Cursed House 6 $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) LGT SIA
Mahjong Solitaire Pro · EA $4.99 3 0% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Hard Shark Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.