Do I ship it?

GamesSokobanSokoban + Magic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Magic Sokoban?

Sokoban + Magic

Only 6 developers shipped a Magic Sokoban in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Isekai Mage Girl Gacha Pull Simulator: Elemental Card Collection, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×7.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $150 against a market of $480. 23 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 200% on the market, 23 announced, ×7.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sokoban + Magic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Sokoban + Magic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,598)
Top 5% $5.7k (exactly $5,662)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 28
Announced 23
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sokoban
effort 2 / 10 · high · grid pushing rules and level files
Magic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Sokoban
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 496 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $150, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $5.6k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 23 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sokoban with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CollectathonFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  3. + CatsFair15 devs · median $776 · 16 announced
  4. + LogicFair203 devs · median $718 · 176 announced
  5. + Grid-Based MovementFair143 devs · median $657 · 135 announced
  6. + PuzzleFair294 devs · median $599 · 288 announced
  7. + ProgrammingFair8 devs · median $599 · 10 announced
  8. + 3D PlatformerFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  9. + StrategyFair141 devs · median $539 · 125 announced
  10. + Puzzle PlatformerFair51 devs · median $358 · 49 announced
  11. + FuturisticLong shot21 devs · median $179 · 20 announced
  12. + Open WorldPoor odds6 devs · median $19k · 16 announced

All 50 pairs on the Sokoban page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Time Master older $14.99 64 95% 1.9k $29k (exactly $28,781) MorpheusZ
The Prism older $4.99 127 68% 3.8k $19k (exactly $19,012) Nikhil. T, Gabriel. H
Schein older $4.99 109 69% 3.3k $16k (exactly $16,317) Zeppelin Studio
Wilderplace older $12.99 29 100% 870 $11k (exactly $11,301) Saman Bemel-Benrud, Micah Fitch, Tom Lu… (Saman Bemel-Benrud, Micah Fitch, Tom Lubanovic)
黎明为歌 - Melody before the Dawn older $4.99 62 88% 1.9k $9.3k (exactly $9,281) Rolling Cat Studio
Isekai Mage Girl Gacha Pull Simulator: Elemental Card Collection $6.99 27 74% 810 $5.7k (exactly $5,662) Violet Soft
Wizard's Way Out older $3.99 36 88% 1.1k $4.3k (exactly $4,309) Kikimora Games
After Light Fades $14.99 8 75% 240 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Orchid of Redemption
Bunnyrama older $2.99 27 96% 810 $2.4k (exactly $2,422) Starwind Games
(Dis)assemble older $7.99 7 100% 210 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Dragon Fruit Studio
Carrotour $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) lì tŕ, Eastern, Arian
Mills of Morris $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Nedermann Zsolt
24 Grab Points $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Meta Entropy Culture
Push and Plunder $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) JK's Gamedev

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.