Do I ship it?

GamesLogicLogic + Word Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Word Game Logic game?

Logic + Word Game

Of 92 developers who shipped a Word Game Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 65 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×4.5 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $90. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 65 games are announced against 63 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 35% on the market, 65 announced, ×1.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Word Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 92
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $479 → $300 → $2.4k → $809 → $299 → $1.0k → $538 (still earning) → $297 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Word Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 92
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $538 (exactly $538)
Top 25% $2.8k (exactly $2,781)
Top 5% $133k (exactly $132,767)
Developers, 2 yr 92
Released games 245
Announced 65
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 110% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Word Game
effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Logic, Word Game; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 8,035 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $540, 1 in 4 over $2.7k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 8 in 10 of the 38 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 65 games are announced against 63 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Word Game older $34.99 5,930 93% 178k $6.2M (exactly $6,224,721) Team9
Wordle older $30.62 1,147 80% 34k $1.1M (exactly $1,053,634) PreoNus Games
CaseCracker older $9.99 3,314 89% 99k $993k (exactly $993,206) BlackRobe
Glyphica: Typing Survival · EA $9.99 2,488 90% 75k $746k (exactly $745,654) aliasBLACK
Wordle 3 older $30.62 610 78% 18k $560k (exactly $560,346) PreoNus Games
Noun Town Language Learning $19.99 708 84% 21k $425k (exactly $424,588) SUPER HYPER MEGA
Wordle 4 older $30.62 420 76% 13k $386k (exactly $385,812) PreoNus Games
Wordle 2 older $30.62 394 61% 12k $362k (exactly $361,928) PreoNus Games
Misty Judgment $8.99 1,170 92% 35k $316k (exactly $315,549) 次元边界
CaseCracker2 older $11.99 759 90% 23k $273k (exactly $273,012) BlackRobe
LOK Digital $14.99 506 99% 15k $228k (exactly $227,548) Letibus Design, Icedrop Games
Lingo 2 $9.99 443 93% 13k $133k (exactly $132,767) Brenton Wildes
Wordatro! $9.99 401 85% 12k $120k (exactly $120,180) Le Poulet
Gensokyo:Presumption of Guilt~Pansies Before Dawn $14.99 250 92% 7.5k $112k (exactly $112,425) 戏壤游戏(Xirang Games)
The Simen Rumors $8.00 430 78% 13k $103k (exactly $103,200) 羊之口
小小侠客模拟器 $2.99 1,103 86% 33k $99k (exactly $98,939) 小小游戏
The Apothecary of Trubiz $3.99 536 94% 16k $64k (exactly $64,159) kinjo, Image Labo

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.