Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Tactics › Turn-Based Tactics + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Logic

Of 184 developers who shipped a Logic Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 221 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $390 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 118 developers shipped in the last year and 221 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 221 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 184
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $891 → $599 → $1.2k → $359 → $359 → $180 → $299 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 184
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $1.3k (exactly $1,256)
Top 5% $34k (exactly $33,566)
Developers, 2 yr 184
Released games 507
Announced 221
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics, Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Turn-Based Strategy, Tactical
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 5,490 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $1.2k, 1 in 20 over $33k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 86 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 221 games are announced against 118 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

XCOM® 2 2016 · $48M Dorfromantik 2022 · $12M Cobalt Core 2023 · $2.4M Drop Duchy 2025 · $1.3M Hasbro's BATTLESHIP 2018 · $310k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
XCOM® 2 older $19.99 79,998 84% 2.4M $48M (exactly $47,974,801) Firaxis Games, Feral Interactive (Mac),… (Firaxis Games, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux))
Dorfromantik older $13.99 27,441 96% 823k $12M (exactly $11,516,988) Toukana Interactive
Cobalt Core older $19.99 4,067 95% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,438,980) Rocket Rat Games
Drop Duchy $14.99 2,962 89% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,332,011) Sleepy Mill Studio
Hasbro's BATTLESHIP older $12.49 828 82% 25k $310k (exactly $310,252) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Quantum Protocol older $12.99 625 90% 19k $244k (exactly $243,562) Kaio Meris
Spaceland: Sci-Fi Indie Tactics older $19.99 358 75% 11k $215k (exactly $214,693) Tortuga Team
Let's! Revolution! older $19.99 317 92% 9.5k $190k (exactly $190,105) BUCK Games, Antfood
Master of Chess $19.99 290 83% 8.7k $174k (exactly $173,913) BRANE
Passant: A Chess Roguelike $11.99 363 79% 11k $131k (exactly $130,571) Marc Makes Games
BroomSweeper $17.99 193 75% 5.8k $104k (exactly $104,162) BandsWithLegends
小小侠客模拟器 $2.99 1,103 86% 33k $99k (exactly $98,939) 小小游戏
868-BACK $19.99 122 98% 3.7k $73k (exactly $73,163) Michael Brough
SkyShard: City Battler · EA $14.99 106 97% 3.2k $48k (exactly $47,668) ItsBen321
Future War Tactics: SOF vs Alien Invasion – Turn-Based Strategy $9.99 138 60% 4.1k $41k (exactly $41,359) QuadCom Interactive
Pup Champs $12.99 101 98% 3.0k $39k (exactly $39,360) Afterburn
Dice Tavern: Farkle Roguelike $9.99 112 90% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,566) Cavi Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.