Do I ship it?

GamesLogicLogic + Spelling

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Spelling Logic game?

Logic + Spelling

Of 25 developers who shipped a Spelling Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $120 for a 2 / 10 build. 20 developers shipped in the last year and 19 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 64330% on the market, 19 announced, ×1.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Spelling
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $838 → $60 → $898 → $299 → $1.2k → $299 (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Spelling: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 5% $26k (exactly $25,697)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 93
Announced 19
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Spelling
effort 1 / 10 · high · effort 1 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Logic, Spelling; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Word Game, Typing
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Cute, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 643 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $25k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Wordle older $30.62 1,147 80% 34k $1.1M (exactly $1,053,634) PreoNus Games
Wordle 3 older $30.62 610 78% 18k $560k (exactly $560,346) PreoNus Games
Wordle 2 older $30.62 394 61% 12k $362k (exactly $361,928) PreoNus Games
Party Quiz $11.99 147 80% 4.4k $53k (exactly $52,876) White Ink
CrossCraze older $17.99 54 98% 1.6k $29k (exactly $29,144) ORT Software
Keine's Expanding Class! $5.99 143 99% 4.3k $26k (exactly $25,697) HornyMelon
Birdigo - bird word game $9.99 78 84% 2.3k $23k (exactly $23,377) John August, Corey Martin
Words Can Kill older $7.99 92 70% 2.8k $22k (exactly $22,052) Typing Monkey
Knotwords older $11.99 54 90% 1.6k $19k (exactly $19,424) Zach Gage, Jack Schlesinger
Word Puzzle Master $2.49 144 82% 4.3k $11k (exactly $10,757) Tilewise
The Castle of Dr. Hoot $4.99 60 80% 1.8k $9.0k (exactly $8,982) BitWizard
Detective Worden $4.99 54 85% 1.6k $8.1k (exactly $8,084) Domestic Black Cat
Grammar Grind $9.99 4 75% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Skylor Beck
Wordban: a text-based Sokoban game $12.99 2 100% 60 $779 (exactly $779) Beibi Technology Co., Ltd.
M_rdle $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) FAT BOMB STUDIOS, LLC
Word95 $2.99 6 83% 180 $538 (exactly $538) Rinanda Hidayat

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.