Do I ship it?

GamesLogicLogic + Solitaire

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Solitaire Logic game?

Logic + Solitaire

Of 76 developers who shipped a Solitaire Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $120 for a 2 / 10 build. 46 developers shipped in the last year and 40 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 40 announced, ×0.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Solitaire
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 76
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $179 → $1.8k → $1.3k → $1.0k → $359 → $449 → $150 (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Solitaire: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 76
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $1.3k (exactly $1,347)
Top 5% $83k (exactly $83,317)
Developers, 2 yr 76
Released games 351
Announced 40
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Solitaire
effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Logic, Solitaire; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Strategy, Card Game
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 2,063 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $240, 1 in 4 over $1.3k, 1 in 20 over $83k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 42 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 40 games are announced against 46 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SHENZHEN I/O older $14.99 3,746 95% 112k $1.7M (exactly $1,684,576) Zachtronics
Last Call BBS older $19.99 1,220 94% 37k $732k (exactly $731,634) Zachtronics
Kaizen: A Factory Story $19.99 694 91% 21k $416k (exactly $416,192) Coincidence
The Solitaire Conspiracy older $11.99 742 89% 22k $267k (exactly $266,897) Bithell Games
Purple Place - Classic Games older $1.99 2,305 85% 69k $138k (exactly $137,608) Sam Cohle
Wordatro! $9.99 401 85% 12k $120k (exactly $120,180) Le Poulet
Picross Fairytale - nonogram: Red Riding Hood secret older $14.99 235 73% 7.1k $106k (exactly $105,680) Somer Games
U.V.S. Nirmana $14.99 213 88% 6.4k $96k (exactly $95,786) Coincidence
Queens Casino $9.99 311 98% 9.3k $93k (exactly $93,207) sartahouse
A Solitaire Mystery $9.99 278 91% 8.3k $83k (exactly $83,317) Hempuli Oy
Cribbish $4.99 65 81% 2.0k $9.7k (exactly $9,730) Fence Post Games
Star and Serpent Solitaire $12.99 17 100% 510 $6.6k (exactly $6,625) Star and Serpent
SherloCAT Holmes Nonogram $4.99 44 81% 1.3k $6.6k (exactly $6,587) LUDO Thinking
Avalon Jewels 2 Collector's Edition $14.99 11 90% 330 $4.9k (exactly $4,947) Anawiki Games
Guandan $4.99 29 89% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) Pixel Dance

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.