Do I ship it?

GamesLogicLogic + Mahjong

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mahjong Logic game?

Logic + Mahjong

Only 12 developers shipped a Mahjong Logic game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Agari — Riichi Mahjong, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $780, ×6.5 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $420. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 5 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 15% on the market, 5 announced, ×0.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Mahjong
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $449 → $1.8k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Mahjong: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $416 (exactly $416)
Median $779 (exactly $779)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Top 5% $5.7k (exactly $5,662)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 38
Announced 5
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Mahjong
effort 1 / 10 · high · effort 1 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Logic, Mahjong
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 110 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $780, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $5.6k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 5 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mahjong Magic Journey older $14.99 136 80% 4.1k $61k (exactly $61,159) Creobit
Sakura Day Mahjong older $14.99 25 72% 750 $11k (exactly $11,242) Creobit
Thanksgiving Day Mosaic older $14.99 20 85% 600 $9.0k (exactly $8,994) Creobit
Christmas Mahjong older $14.99 19 68% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Creobit
Mahjong Magic Journey 3 older $14.99 14 64% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Creobit
Christmas Mahjong 2 older $14.99 13 76% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) Creobit
Agari — Riichi Mahjong $6.99 27 96% 810 $5.7k (exactly $5,662) Ryan Sullenberger
Mahjong Royal Towers older $14.99 11 54% 330 $4.9k (exactly $4,947) Creobit
Guandan $4.99 29 89% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) Pixel Dance
Sakura Day 2 Mahjong older $14.99 9 66% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) Creobit
🌸 Lofi Mahjong 🌸 $4.99 12 91% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Gossiam Games
Laruaville 16 $12.99 4 100% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) LGT SIA
Mahjong Riddles: Egypt $9.99 4 75% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Star Mill BV
17 Steps · EA $3.99 10 100% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) SmilingMiles
Laruaville 17 $12.99 2 100% 60 $779 (exactly $779) LGT SIA
Mahjong Solitaire $3.99 5 100% 150 $598 (exactly $598) Popoko VM Games
Mahjong Solitaire Pro · EA $4.99 3 0% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Hard Shark Games
MEMESTEINE FILES $0.99 14 92% 420 $416 (exactly $416) Gamesforgames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.