Do I ship it?

GamesSouls-likeSouls-like + Local Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Souls-like?

Souls-like + Local Multiplayer

Only 7 developers shipped a Local Multiplayer Souls-like in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, BLEACH Rebirth of Souls, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×11 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $28k against a market of $1.5k. 22 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 18.6 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 22 announced, ×11 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Souls-like + Local Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Souls-like + Local Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $6.0k (exactly $5,992)
Median $28k (exactly $27,891)
Top 25% $97k (exactly $96,856)
Top 5% $8.7M (exactly $8,694,351)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 26
Announced 22
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Souls-like
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Souls-like, Local Multiplayer
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 36,241 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $6.0k, median $28k, 1 in 4 over $96k, 1 in 20 over $8.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $6.0k. 5 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×11 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Souls-like with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds17 devs · median $34k · 8 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair25 devs · median $27k · 17 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair13 devs · median $22k · 17 announced
  4. + JRPGFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair9 devs · median $3.9k · 10 announced
  6. + PsychologicalFair17 devs · median $1.8k · 17 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerLong shot49 devs · median $776 · 46 announced
  9. + Score AttackLong shot18 devs · median $599 · 21 announced
  10. + WarPoor odds8 devs · median $451k · 22 announced
  11. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds12 devs · median $88k · 21 announced
  12. + RomancePoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 16 announced

All 122 pairs on the Souls-like page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BLEACH Rebirth of Souls $59.99 4,831 68% 145k $8.7M (exactly $8,694,351) TAMSOFT CORPORATION
PICO PARK older $4.99 23,751 91% 713k $3.6M (exactly $3,555,525) TECOPARK
SUPER CHICKEN JUMPER older $2.99 4,888 96% 147k $438k (exactly $438,454) Sewer Cat, Heavy Sheep
Abathor older $14.99 331 89% 9.9k $149k (exactly $148,851) Pow Pixel Games
PAW Patrol Mighty Pups Save Adventure Bay older $29.99 136 72% 4.1k $122k (exactly $122,359) DRAKHAR STUDIO
Lumberjacked $4.99 647 83% 19k $97k (exactly $96,856) Inner Realm Studios, Dumb Duck Games
Watcher Chronicles older $19.99 138 84% 4.1k $83k (exactly $82,759) Third Sphere Game Studios
StormEdge older $14.99 165 67% 5.0k $74k (exactly $74,200) Shieldbreaking Games
Sex With Friends $4.99 236 94% 7.1k $35k (exactly $35,329) B-Team
Fireboy & Watergirl: Elements older $0.99 1,118 85% 34k $33k (exactly $33,205) Oslo Albet
Slime Heroes $29.99 31 67% 930 $28k (exactly $27,891) Pancake Games
Go $7.99 25 72% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) Popoko VM Games
Kingdoms And Slaves $6.99 23 82% 690 $4.8k (exactly $4,823) TGM
Chinese Chess - Xiangqi $7.99 8 100% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Popoko VM Games
67 Simulator · EA $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) close2 Entertainment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.