Do I ship it?

GamesParty-Based RPGParty-Based RPG + Local Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG + Local Multiplayer

Only 8 developers shipped a Local Multiplayer Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tales of Graces f Remastered, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $76k against a market of $630. 16 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 120.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 16 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + Local Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + Local Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $76k (exactly $75,546)
Top 25% $210k (exactly $209,948)
Top 5% $927k (exactly $927,368)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 28
Announced 16
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $13.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 29%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG, Local Multiplayer
Price point
$13.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $13.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 23,508 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $76k, 1 in 4 over $200k, 1 in 20 over $920k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. 4 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds5 devs · median $230k · 16 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  12. + IncrementalPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 45 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
For The King II older $24.99 12,708 71% 381k $9.5M (exactly $9,527,188) IronOak Games
Pyre older $19.99 8,396 90% 252k $5.0M (exactly $5,035,081) Supergiant Games
Tales of Graces f Remastered $39.99 773 87% 23k $927k (exactly $927,368) TOSE CO., LTD.
Fort Triumph older $19.99 714 78% 21k $428k (exactly $428,186) CookieByte Entertainment
Tales of Berseria Remastered $39.99 175 70% 5.3k $210k (exactly $209,948) D.A.G Inc.
The Metronomicon: Slay The Dance Floor older $19.99 279 86% 8.4k $167k (exactly $167,316) Puuba
Worlds of Aria $14.99 220 90% 6.6k $99k (exactly $98,934) Ludogram
Final Knight · EA $13.99 180 77% 5.4k $76k (exactly $75,546) 2oclocksoft
Balance Breakers - A Battle Party Game · EA older $16.99 14 100% 420 $7.1k (exactly $7,136) Gamestry Lab
富甲天下2 older $3.90 49 91% 1.5k $5.7k (exactly $5,733) T-Time Technology CO., LTD.
Cheddar and Feta $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Micah Baker
Final Stand $0.99 3 66% 90 $89 (exactly $89) Richat Studio
Glitch Party $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Gyllensten Games
Cubiciousflage $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Kubrick

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.