Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based TacticsTurn-Based Tactics + Local Co-Op

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Local Co-Op

Of 31 developers who shipped a Local Co-Op Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $49k, ×78 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 33 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 33 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Local Co-Op
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 31
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.9k → $2.8k → $6.6k → $1.3k → $300 → $2.4k → $898 (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Local Co-Op: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 31
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $3.4k (exactly $3,358)
Top 5% $49k (exactly $49,017)
Developers, 2 yr 31
Released games 85
Announced 33
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 245% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics, Local Co-Op; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Turn-Based Strategy, Co-op
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 2,186 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $540, 1 in 4 over $3.3k, 1 in 20 over $49k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Pit People® older $19.99 7,458 92% 224k $4.5M (exactly $4,472,563) The Behemoth
Football, Tactics & Glory older $24.99 3,998 87% 120k $3.0M (exactly $2,997,301) Creoteam
Axis & Allies 1942 Online older $19.99 4,810 78% 144k $2.9M (exactly $2,884,557) Beamdog
Sunderfolk $49.99 1,890 93% 57k $2.8M (exactly $2,834,433) Secret Door
Hero's Hour older $17.99 4,643 79% 139k $2.5M (exactly $2,505,827) Benjamin "ThingOnItsOwn" Hauer
Wargroove older $19.99 4,015 83% 120k $2.4M (exactly $2,407,796) Chucklefish
Stolen Realm older $19.99 3,470 84% 104k $2.1M (exactly $2,080,959) Burst2Flame Games
Worms Clan Wars older $24.99 1,678 77% 50k $1.3M (exactly $1,257,997) Team17 Digital Ltd
Spirit Island older $24.99 1,545 91% 46k $1.2M (exactly $1,158,286) Handelabra Games Inc.
Fort Triumph older $19.99 714 78% 21k $428k (exactly $428,186) CookieByte Entertainment
Deviation Game · EA $14.99 109 90% 3.3k $49k (exactly $49,017) Tomo Kihara, Playfool
Beacon Patrol $11.99 70 97% 2.1k $25k (exactly $25,179) Shapes and Dreams, BrutalHack
Ragtag Heroes : CO-OP Deckbuilder · EA $14.99 37 62% 1.1k $17k (exactly $16,639) Ragtag Heroes Team
Super World War $19.99 19 100% 570 $11k (exactly $11,394) Zero Games Studios
Delta Manager · EA $12.99 28 92% 840 $11k (exactly $10,912) Fassi Blue
Chess of Mana $8.99 17 88% 510 $4.6k (exactly $4,585) Monk Monkey
Hard Edge - War Zone $15.99 7 71% 210 $3.4k (exactly $3,358) SUNSOFT
Co OPERATION: MultiTurn $19.99 4 100% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Mind Feast Games
Boardquest: Tales of Liria $11.99 5 100% 150 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Ramezware SL

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.