Do I ship it?

GamesParty-Based RPGParty-Based RPG + Local Co-Op

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG + Local Co-Op

Only 12 developers shipped a Local Co-Op Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sunderfolk, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×5.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.0k, ×9.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $2.8M, ×4513 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 26 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 26 announced, ×5.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + Local Co-Op
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + Local Co-Op: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $6.0k (exactly $5,988)
Top 25% $470k (exactly $470,282)
Top 5% $2.8M (exactly $2,834,433)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 40
Announced 26
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $13.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG, Local Co-Op
Price point
$13.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 3,327 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $6.0k, 1 in 4 over $470k, 1 in 20 over $2.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds5 devs · median $230k · 16 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  12. + IncrementalPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 45 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition older $44.99 180,782 95% 5.4M $244M (exactly $244,001,465) Larian Studios
Divinity: Original Sin - Enhanced Edition older $39.99 27,485 88% 825k $33M (exactly $32,973,754) Larian Studios
For The King older $19.99 31,038 87% 931k $19M (exactly $18,613,489) IronOak Games
Sea of Stars: Sunset Edition older $34.99 12,060 87% 362k $13M (exactly $12,659,382) Sabotage Studio
For The King II older $24.99 12,708 71% 381k $9.5M (exactly $9,527,188) IronOak Games
Tales of Vesperia: Definitive Edition older $49.99 3,794 80% 114k $5.7M (exactly $5,689,862) QLOC, BANDAI NAMCO Studios Inc.
Sunderfolk $49.99 1,890 93% 57k $2.8M (exactly $2,834,433) Secret Door
Stolen Realm older $19.99 3,470 84% 104k $2.1M (exactly $2,080,959) Burst2Flame Games
No Straight Roads: Encore Edition older $24.99 1,813 89% 54k $1.4M (exactly $1,359,206) Metronomik
Legend of Mana older $29.99 1,132 78% 34k $1.0M (exactly $1,018,460) Square Enix, M2 Co., Ltd.
Tales of Graces f Remastered $39.99 773 87% 23k $927k (exactly $927,368) TOSE CO., LTD.
Tales of Xillia Remastered $39.99 392 76% 12k $470k (exactly $470,282) DOKIDOKI GROOVEWORKS, Inc.
Final Knight · EA $13.99 180 77% 5.4k $76k (exactly $75,546) 2oclocksoft
Ragtag Heroes : CO-OP Deckbuilder · EA $14.99 37 62% 1.1k $17k (exactly $16,639) Ragtag Heroes Team
Only Out $4.99 40 95% 1.2k $6.0k (exactly $5,988) Shark Studio
Radiant: Guardians of Light $14.99 8 75% 240 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) CHORRUS GAMES
Aethercrypt $12.99 1 0% 30 $390 (exactly $390) AtneGames
Cheddar and Feta $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Micah Baker
Final Stand $0.99 3 66% 90 $89 (exactly $89) Richat Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.