Do I ship it?

Games › JRPG › JRPG + Vampires

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Vampire JRPG?

JRPG + Vampires

Only 16 developers shipped a Vampire JRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, CODE VEIN II, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.2k, ×6.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $10M, ×17363 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 13 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 13 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
JRPG + Vampires
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.3k → $899 → $839 → $1.1k → $66k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for JRPG + Vampires: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $4.2k (exactly $4,200)
Top 25% $47k (exactly $46,764)
Top 5% $11M (exactly $10,903,742)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 50
Announced 13
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 2%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

JRPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Vampires
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
JRPG; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Multiple Endings
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $69.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Story Rich, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $69.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 70% positive over 6,461 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $4.2k, 1 in 4 over $46k, 1 in 20 over $10M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

JRPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds12 devs · median $54k · 6 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  3. + NinjaFair7 devs · median $19k · 10 announced
  4. + RomanceFair153 devs · median $13k · 164 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair219 devs · median $13k · 265 announced
  6. + ManagementFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair41 devs · median $8.4k · 45 announced
  9. + LootFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair85 devs · median $5.2k · 103 announced
  11. + 2D PlatformerFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligenceFair25 devs · median $4.0k · 21 announced

All 142 pairs on the JRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

CODE VEIN 2019 · $83M CODE VEIN II 2026 · $11M AKIBA'S TRIP: Undead ＆ Undressed 2015 · $1.8M Ara Fell: Enhanced Edition 2016 · $837k Vampires' Melody 2020 · $665k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
CODE VEIN older $59.99 46,315 83% 1.4M $83M (exactly $83,353,106) Bandai Namco Studios
CODE VEIN II $69.99 5,193 66% 156k $11M (exactly $10,903,742) Bandai Namco Studios Inc.
AKIBA'S TRIP: Undead ＆ Undressed older $19.99 3,076 84% 92k $1.8M (exactly $1,844,677) ACQUIRE Corp.
Ara Fell: Enhanced Edition older $14.99 1,861 94% 56k $837k (exactly $836,892) Stegosoft Games
Vampires' Melody older $3.99 5,559 97% 167k $665k (exactly $665,412) AsicxArt
Touhou: Scarlet Curiosity older $14.99 1,219 91% 37k $548k (exactly $548,184) Ankake Spa
Virgo Versus The Zodiac older $19.99 790 92% 24k $474k (exactly $473,763) Moonana
SaGa Emerald Beyond older $49.99 308 72% 9.2k $462k (exactly $461,908) Square Enix
绯红编年史 ~ Chronicle of Scarlet ~ $12.99 697 88% 21k $272k (exactly $271,621) Charge Piggy Studio
유어 블라이트 · EA older $19.99 296 87% 8.9k $178k (exactly $177,511) IGNOST
MELFIAS －Azure and Crimson Verge－ $11.99 183 89% 5.5k $66k (exactly $65,825) dorgel
Project: AHNO's Ark $12.99 120 92% 3.6k $47k (exactly $46,764) PHOSEPO
The Naughty Vampire and the Moaning Forest $5.99 157 71% 4.7k $28k (exactly $28,213) marron☆marron
Sword Mistress of the Dungeon Town $17.99 38 65% 1.1k $21k (exactly $20,509) ラブリープリチー超愛してる, Lovely Pretty Ultra Lov… (ラブリープリチー超愛してる, Lovely Pretty Ultra Loving You)
Breath of Death VII: The Beginning: Reanimated $4.99 53 86% 1.6k $7.9k (exactly $7,934) Shadow Layer Games LLC
Drealegy $10.00 14 64% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,200) ArcWillow
BYTE $11.99 3 100% 90 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) James Martini
Gumball in Trick-or-Treat Land $11.99 3 66% 90 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) Exquisite Laundry Pet LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.