Do I ship it?

GamesJRPGJRPG + Point & Click

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Point & Click JRPG?

JRPG + Point & Click

Of 41 developers who shipped a Point & Click JRPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $8.4k, ×13 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $1.6k. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 45 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 13.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 45 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
JRPG + Point & Click
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 41
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $15k → $9.0k → $6.7k → $5.2k → $12k → $9.0k → $5.8k (still earning) → $2.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for JRPG + Point & Click: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 41
Bottom 30% $1.5k (exactly $1,525)
Median $8.4k (exactly $8,379)
Top 25% $65k (exactly $65,465)
Top 5% $792k (exactly $791,740)
Developers, 2 yr 41
Released games 140
Announced 45
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

JRPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Point & Click
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
JRPG, Point & Click; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Dating Sim
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Cute, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 11,801 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.6k, median $8.4k, 1 in 4 over $65k, 1 in 20 over $790k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.6k. 7 in 10 of the 30 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

JRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds12 devs · median $54k · 6 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  3. + NinjaFair7 devs · median $19k · 10 announced
  4. + RomanceFair153 devs · median $13k · 164 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair219 devs · median $13k · 265 announced
  6. + ManagementFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  8. + LootFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  9. + RoguelikeFair85 devs · median $5.2k · 103 announced
  10. + 2D PlatformerFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  11. + Artificial IntelligenceFair25 devs · median $4.0k · 21 announced
  12. + Resource ManagementFair36 devs · median $2.7k · 27 announced

All 142 pairs on the JRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Summer Clover older $17.99 9,062 97% 272k $4.9M (exactly $4,890,761) Connection
PARANORMASIGHT: The Seven Mysteries of Honjo older $19.99 6,123 95% 184k $3.7M (exactly $3,671,963) Square Enix
Rakuen older $14.99 4,699 96% 141k $2.1M (exactly $2,113,140) Laura Shigihara
Peeping Dorm Manager older $10.99 6,206 92% 186k $2.0M (exactly $2,046,118) HornyDoge
PARANORMASIGHT: The Mermaid's Curse $24.99 2,169 95% 65k $1.6M (exactly $1,626,099) Square Enix
Just a To the Moon Series Beach Episode $7.99 3,784 98% 114k $907k (exactly $907,025) Freebird Games
Corpse Party (2021) older $19.99 1,422 90% 43k $853k (exactly $852,773) MAGES.
The Censor DX Edition $17.99 1,467 82% 44k $792k (exactly $791,740) Tiramisu, Big S Studio
Shin chan: Shiro and the Coal Town $29.99 837 95% 25k $753k (exactly $753,049) h.a.n.d., Inc.
Spirit Hunter: Death Mark older $49.99 344 86% 10k $516k (exactly $515,897) EXPERIENCE
Spooky Milk Life · EA $11.99 1,216 74% 36k $437k (exactly $437,395) MangoMango, Studio Ginkgo
緋月仙行錄 $19.99 454 57% 14k $272k (exactly $272,264) 月光草
The Endless Abyss: A Busty Cop’s Corrupted Soul $12.99 683 71% 20k $266k (exactly $266,165) GiraffeLiam
MASSAGE MY EX-BULLY $6.99 519 70% 16k $109k (exactly $108,834) Warumiyo
Whimsy Bake&Craft $7.99 357 64% 11k $86k (exactly $85,573) MOON SCAPE
Let's Start Managing the Sexual Relief Department! $7.99 315 73% 9.5k $76k (exactly $75,506) むくどりGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.