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Should I ship a Turn-Based Tactics JRPG?
JRPG + Turn-Based Tactics
Of 231 developers who shipped a Turn-Based Tactics JRPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 336 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.3k, ×5.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $960k, ×1534 the market median. Revenue is up 75% on the market; 336 games are announced against 116 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $598 (exactly $598) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) |
| Top 25% | $41k (exactly $41,359) |
| Top 5% | $963k (exactly $963,359) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 231 |
| Released games | 754 |
| Announced | 336 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $10.00 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 75% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- JRPG
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Turn-Based Tactics
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- JRPG, Turn-Based Tactics; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Turn-Based Combat, Adventure
- Price point
- $10.00 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Story Rich, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $10.00.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 54,271 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 146 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 336 games are announced against 116 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
JRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Mystery DungeonStrong odds
- + NinjaFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + ManagementFair
- + Souls-likeFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + LootFair
- + RoguelikeFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
Comparable games
Metaphor: ReFantazio 2024 · $53M 
Temtem 2022 · $42M 
SD GUNDAM G GENERATION CROSS RAYS 2019 · $12M 
Super Robot Wars 30 2021 · $10M 
Sora no Kiseki the 1st 2025 · $9.4M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Metaphor: ReFantazio | $69.99 | 25,224 89% | 757k | $53M (exactly $52,962,833) | ATLUS | |
| | Temtem | older | $44.99 | 31,263 82% | 938k | $42M (exactly $42,195,671) | Crema |
| | SD GUNDAM G GENERATION CROSS RAYS | older | $59.99 | 6,939 82% | 208k | $12M (exactly $12,488,118) | TOM CREATE, 株式会社トムクリエイト |
| | Super Robot Wars 30 | older | $59.99 | 5,608 85% | 168k | $10M (exactly $10,092,718) | Bandai Namco Forge Digitals Inc. |
| | Sora no Kiseki the 1st | $59.99 | 5,205 97% | 156k | $9.4M (exactly $9,367,438) | Nihon Falcom | |
 | Valkyria Chronicles 4 Complete Edition | older | $49.99 | 5,691 86% | 171k | $8.5M (exactly $8,534,793) | SEGA |
 | FINAL FANTASY TACTICS - The Ivalice Chronicles | $49.99 | 5,673 89% | 170k | $8.5M (exactly $8,507,798) | Square Enix | |
 | Trails in the Sky 1st Chapter | $59.99 | 4,650 95% | 140k | $8.4M (exactly $8,368,605) | Nihon Falcom | |
 | Symphony of War: The Nephilim Saga | older | $19.99 | 12,880 94% | 386k | $7.7M (exactly $7,724,136) | Dancing Dragon Games |
 | TROUBLESHOOTER: Abandoned Children | older | $24.99 | 9,464 93% | 284k | $7.1M (exactly $7,095,161) | Dandylion |
 | Suikoden I&II HD Remaster Gate Rune and Dunan Unification Wars | $49.99 | 2,049 94% | 61k | $3.1M (exactly $3,072,885) | KONAMI | |
 | BLACK SOULS II | $13.99 | 5,277 97% | 158k | $2.2M (exactly $2,214,757) | Eeny, meeny, miny, moe? | |
 | The Legend of Heroes: Kai no Kiseki -Farewell, O Zemuria- | $57.99 | 765 77% | 23k | $1.3M (exactly $1,330,870) | Nihon Falcom | |
 | Artis Impact | $18.99 | 2,308 84% | 69k | $1.3M (exactly $1,314,868) | Mas | |
 | Dark Deity 2 | $24.99 | 1,583 89% | 47k | $1.2M (exactly $1,186,775) | Sword & Axe LLC | |
 | Escape from Ever After | $24.99 | 1,537 96% | 46k | $1.2M (exactly $1,152,289) | Sleepy Castle Studio, Wing-It! Creative |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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