Games › JRPG › JRPG + Traditional Roguelike
Should I ship a Traditional Roguelike JRPG?
JRPG + Traditional Roguelike
Only 9 developers shipped a Traditional Roguelike JRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Elin, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.8k against a market of $630. 6 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $2.4k (exactly $2,394) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.8k (exactly $3,838) |
| Top 25% | $33k (exactly $32,735) |
| Top 5% | $5.0M (exactly $5,041,078) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 28 |
| Announced | 6 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1430% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- JRPG
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Traditional Roguelike
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- JRPG, Traditional Roguelike
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 16,208 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 6 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
JRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Mystery DungeonStrong odds
- + NinjaFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + ManagementFair
- + Souls-likeFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + LootFair
- + RoguelikeFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
Comparable games
Elin 2024 · EA · $5.0M 
Touhou Genso Wanderer -Reloaded- 2018 · $1.8M 
Shiren the Wanderer: The Tower of Fortune and the Dice of Fate 2020 · $534k 
One Way Heroics 2014 · $367k 
House of Necrosis 2025 · $209k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Elin | · EA | $19.99 | 8,406 93% | 252k | $5.0M (exactly $5,041,078) | Lafrontier |
| | Touhou Genso Wanderer -Reloaded- | older | $34.99 | 1,734 93% | 52k | $1.8M (exactly $1,820,180) | AQUASTYLE |
| | Shiren the Wanderer: The Tower of Fortune and the Dice of Fate | older | $19.99 | 891 75% | 27k | $534k (exactly $534,333) | Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd. |
| | One Way Heroics | older | $3.49 | 3,503 94% | 105k | $367k (exactly $366,764) | Smoking WOLF |
| | House of Necrosis | $11.99 | 581 94% | 17k | $209k (exactly $208,986) | Warkus | |
 | Blazing Aries | older | $18.99 | 366 87% | 11k | $209k (exactly $208,510) | Kuroto Zakka |
 | Mystery Chronicle: One Way Heroics | older | $9.99 | 413 61% | 12k | $124k (exactly $123,776) | Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd. |
 | Is It Wrong to Repay the Debt in a Dungeon? | older | $17.99 | 118 79% | 3.5k | $64k (exactly $63,685) | Atelier Wanko |
 | XenoWorld ~The Rondeau of Astra~ | older | $10.99 | 112 75% | 3.4k | $37k (exactly $36,926) | IMaiIna_, INA |
 | HoloDungeon: Koyori vs HollowLive in Honsha Tower | · EA | $12.99 | 84 72% | 2.5k | $33k (exactly $32,735) | VELUX STUDIO |
 | Gods Wars : infinity Epic | $9.99 | 70 77% | 2.1k | $21k (exactly $20,979) | YCGame | |
 | [English] AbsentedAge 2: Ghostbound | $15.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $3.8k (exactly $3,838) | terunon's Lab | |
 | 不思議の大冒険 チルノ見参！２ | $9.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) | CrossLodge | |
 | 开局觉醒神级天赋 | $3.99 | 20 70% | 600 | $2.4k (exactly $2,394) | 北望 | |
 | City of Despair: Shadows Over Tokyo | $3.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $239 (exactly $239) | DIG Games | |
 | The last throne | $3.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | SLW Game Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.