Do I ship it?

GamesJRPGJRPG + Tabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tabletop JRPG?

JRPG + Tabletop

Only 13 developers shipped a Tabletop JRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, DOKAPON! Sword of Fury, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.0 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $260k, ×423 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 12 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 12 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
JRPG + Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.0k → $418 → $955 → $2.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for JRPG + Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $298 (exactly $298)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,256)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,523)
Top 5% $265k (exactly $265,394)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 53
Announced 12
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $1.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

JRPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
JRPG, Tabletop; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Strategy
Price point
$1.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $1.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,502 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 6 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

JRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds12 devs · median $54k · 6 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  3. + NinjaFair7 devs · median $19k · 10 announced
  4. + RomanceFair153 devs · median $13k · 164 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair219 devs · median $13k · 265 announced
  6. + ManagementFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair41 devs · median $8.4k · 45 announced
  9. + LootFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair85 devs · median $5.2k · 103 announced
  11. + 2D PlatformerFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligenceFair25 devs · median $4.0k · 21 announced

All 142 pairs on the JRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
TRIANGLE STRATEGY older $59.99 3,239 78% 97k $5.8M (exactly $5,829,228) Square Enix, ARTDINK
Voice of Cards: The Isle Dragon Roars older $29.99 1,277 80% 38k $1.1M (exactly $1,148,917) Square Enix
RPG Time: The Legend of Wright older $29.99 417 88% 13k $375k (exactly $375,175) 株式会社デスクワークス
DOKAPON! Sword of Fury $24.99 354 85% 11k $265k (exactly $265,394) Sting
Voice of Cards: The Forsaken Maiden older $29.99 252 65% 7.6k $227k (exactly $226,724) Square Enix
Endless Road: Reborn older $9.99 431 74% 13k $129k (exactly $129,171) 掌烛文化
The Testing Chamber older $4.99 697 96% 21k $104k (exactly $104,341) Randumb Studios
Tanto Cuore older $9.99 168 91% 5.0k $50k (exactly $50,350) Japanime Digital, Wedontknow Games
Project: AHNO's Ark $12.99 120 92% 3.6k $47k (exactly $46,764) PHOSEPO
The Fantasy World of Mahjong Princess older $9.99 150 84% 4.5k $45k (exactly $44,955) LSJ Productions
Book of Fei $2.99 347 93% 10k $31k (exactly $31,126) TAO Studio
ENCOUNTER BAR $0.99 590 78% 18k $18k (exactly $17,523) 2R
Money And Lady | 财貌双全 $9.99 20 35% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) Happy DLC Studio
Demon Princess Retreat $3.99 21 85% 630 $2.5k (exactly $2,514) OneShotStudio, SamAFEI
你的妹子 Your Girl $2.99 14 57% 420 $1.3k (exactly $1,256) GAZEM
Sweet Whiskers: Cozy Kitty Stories $1.99 16 93% 480 $955 (exactly $955) Anime Aqua Games
My favorite dream girls $1.99 12 100% 360 $716 (exactly $716) Morf Games
Waifu Lust $1.99 8 75% 240 $478 (exactly $478) Morf Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.