Do I ship it?

GamesJRPGJRPG + Survival Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a JRPG Survival Horror?

JRPG + Survival Horror

Only 13 developers shipped a JRPG Survival Horror in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, House of Necrosis, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×3.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×333 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 23 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 23 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
JRPG + Survival Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.9k → $4.2k → $1.9k → $5.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for JRPG + Survival Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $538 (exactly $538)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,948)
Top 25% $8.7k (exactly $8,691)
Top 5% $209k (exactly $208,986)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 49
Announced 23
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

JRPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
JRPG, Survival Horror; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Investigation
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Top-Down, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 963 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $8.6k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

JRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds12 devs · median $54k · 6 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  3. + NinjaFair7 devs · median $19k · 10 announced
  4. + RomanceFair153 devs · median $13k · 164 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair219 devs · median $13k · 265 announced
  6. + ManagementFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair41 devs · median $8.4k · 45 announced
  9. + LootFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair85 devs · median $5.2k · 103 announced
  11. + 2D PlatformerFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligenceFair25 devs · median $4.0k · 21 announced

All 142 pairs on the JRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fear & Hunger 2: Termina older $11.99 14,232 97% 427k $5.1M (exactly $5,119,250) Miro Haverinen
Fear & Hunger older $7.99 20,881 94% 626k $5.0M (exactly $5,005,176) Miro Haverinen
FATAL FRAME / PROJECT ZERO: Mask of the Lunar Eclipse older $49.99 1,597 89% 48k $2.4M (exactly $2,395,021) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
The Test older $1.99 19,599 96% 588k $1.2M (exactly $1,170,060) Randumb Studios
Zanki Zero: Last Beginning older $59.99 650 77% 20k $1.2M (exactly $1,169,805) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
Shadow Corridor 2 雨ノ四葩 older $18.99 853 87% 26k $486k (exactly $485,954) Space Onigiri Game LLC
Yomawari: Lost in the Dark older $39.99 339 86% 10k $407k (exactly $406,698) Nippon Ichi Software, Inc.
Aooni older $9.99 929 77% 28k $278k (exactly $278,421) Game Studio Inc.
Corpse Party: Book of Shadows older $14.99 480 85% 14k $216k (exactly $215,856) MAGES. Inc., 5pb.
House of Necrosis $11.99 581 94% 17k $209k (exactly $208,986) Warkus
Lustful Dead 🔞 $9.99 267 49% 8.0k $80k (exactly $80,020) BanzaiProject
Deluge $9.99 31 100% 930 $9.3k (exactly $9,291) Riggy2k3
Mind Control: Bloody Renaissance $9.99 29 100% 870 $8.7k (exactly $8,691) BYYONI Entertainment
The end of paradise $7.99 21 90% 630 $5.0k (exactly $5,034) The Salty Trio
Drealegy $10.00 14 64% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,200) ArcWillow
Dreaming on the last light 人偶馆绮幻夜 $12.99 5 20% 150 $1.9k (exactly $1,948) Everlasting游戏制作组
Void Foundation: Into The Void $4.99 5 80% 150 $748 (exactly $748) #30A6D-S (Kuma)
Re:Echo $5.99 4 50% 120 $719 (exactly $719) f8game.studio
Crimson Moon $2.99 6 83% 180 $538 (exactly $538) Spear Soft

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.