Do I ship it?

GamesJRPGJRPG + Steampunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Steampunk JRPG?

JRPG + Steampunk

Only 7 developers shipped a Steampunk JRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Spellpowder: Uprising, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×10.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.1k against a market of $630. 20 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 3.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 20 announced, ×10.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
JRPG + Steampunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for JRPG + Steampunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,109)
Top 25% $5.5k (exactly $5,458)
Top 5% $8.5k (exactly $8,544)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 29
Announced 20
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

JRPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Steampunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
JRPG
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 26,175 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $5.4k, 1 in 20 over $8.5k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×10.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

JRPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds12 devs · median $54k · 6 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  3. + NinjaFair7 devs · median $19k · 10 announced
  4. + RomanceFair153 devs · median $13k · 164 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair219 devs · median $13k · 265 announced
  6. + ManagementFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair41 devs · median $8.4k · 45 announced
  9. + LootFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair85 devs · median $5.2k · 103 announced
  11. + 2D PlatformerFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligenceFair25 devs · median $4.0k · 21 announced

All 142 pairs on the JRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
FINAL FANTASY IX older $20.99 12,447 95% 373k $7.8M (exactly $7,837,876) Square Enix
Battle Chasers: Nightwar older $29.99 5,573 87% 167k $5.0M (exactly $5,014,028) Airship Syndicate
Gestalt: Steam & Cinder older $19.99 1,850 79% 56k $1.1M (exactly $1,109,445) Metamorphosis Games
RESONANCE OF FATE™/END OF ETERNITY™ 4K/HD EDITION older $34.99 983 80% 29k $1.0M (exactly $1,031,855) tri-Ace
Little Noah: Scion of Paradise older $14.99 2,172 92% 65k $977k (exactly $976,748) Cygames, Inc., Grounding Inc.
Detective Girl of the Steam City older $14.99 1,894 91% 57k $852k (exactly $851,732) Clymenia
Skyborn older $14.99 553 88% 17k $249k (exactly $248,684) Dancing Dragon Games
鸿源战纪 - Tales of Hongyuan older $12.99 442 78% 13k $172k (exactly $172,247) Hongyuan Game
Echoes of Aetheria older $14.99 143 82% 4.3k $64k (exactly $64,307) Dancing Dragon Games
Souls of Chronos older $15.99 118 72% 3.5k $57k (exactly $56,605) FUTU Studio
Spellpowder: Uprising $14.99 19 94% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Rogandir Studio
VOID SOUL $25.99 7 85% 210 $5.5k (exactly $5,458) OWLOGUE Co., Ltd.
Neverspring Chronicles $7.99 21 95% 630 $5.0k (exactly $5,034) Durance Gaming
Elysium $0.99 71 94% 2.1k $2.1k (exactly $2,109) YvelRevo
Bereaved: Soldiers of Fate · EA $10.00 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Lost Gear Productions
How to Write a Book without Getting Killed $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Blue Sword Gaming
Cogfall $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Nodding Panda Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.