Should I ship a JRPG Shooter?
JRPG + Shooter
Of 20 developers who shipped a JRPG Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $6.5k, ×10 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.3k; 1 in 20 cleared $620k, ×991 the market median. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 24 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.3k (exactly $1,258) |
|---|---|
| Median | $6.5k (exactly $6,475) |
| Top 25% | $41k (exactly $41,083) |
| Top 5% | $622k (exactly $622,198) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 20 |
| Released games | 68 |
| Announced | 24 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- JRPG, Shooter; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Third-Person Shooter, Action Roguelike
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, 3D, Cute
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 4,024 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.3k. 6 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
JRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Mystery DungeonStrong odds
- + NinjaFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + ManagementFair
- + Souls-likeFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + LootFair
- + RoguelikeFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
Comparable games
Sword Art Online: Fatal Bullet 2018 · $9.3M 
Azur Lane Crosswave 2020 · $7.8M 
Winter Memories 2024 · $6.2M 
Mirror 2018 · $4.3M 
Touhou Hero of Ice Fairy 2024 · $1.6M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sword Art Online: Fatal Bullet | older | $19.99 | 15,461 79% | 464k | $9.3M (exactly $9,271,962) | Dimps Corporation |
| | Azur Lane Crosswave | older | $39.99 | 6,537 68% | 196k | $7.8M (exactly $7,842,439) | IDEA FACTORY, COMPILE HEART, FELISTELLA |
| | Winter Memories | older | $19.99 | 10,365 97% | 311k | $6.2M (exactly $6,215,890) | Dojin Otome |
| | Mirror | older | $1.99 | 72,623 96% | 2.2M | $4.3M (exactly $4,335,593) | KAGAMI WORKS |
| | Touhou Hero of Ice Fairy | older | $6.99 | 7,714 97% | 231k | $1.6M (exactly $1,617,626) | GAMEPULSE 游戏脉冲 |
 | 永远消失的幻想乡 ～ The Disappearing of Gensokyo | older | $10.99 | 3,023 83% | 91k | $997k (exactly $996,683) | MyACG Studio |
 | Cavalry Girls | older | $11.99 | 1,877 88% | 56k | $675k (exactly $675,157) | 中子星游戏研究所 |
 | Bullet Girls Phantasia | older | $29.99 | 724 82% | 22k | $651k (exactly $651,383) | SHADE Inc. |
 | Endless Alice | · EA | $8.99 | 2,307 91% | 69k | $622k (exactly $622,198) | HowlingRain, 台灣響雨互娛, 響雨@OSAKA |
 | Valkyrie of Phantasm | $29.99 | 556 86% | 17k | $500k (exactly $500,233) | AREAZERO | |
 | Fox Sex Farm | $17.99 | 413 82% | 12k | $223k (exactly $222,896) | R's | |
 | Deadrock Redemption 2 | $14.99 | 123 86% | 3.7k | $55k (exactly $55,313) | Entropy Digital Entertainment | |
 | DUNGEON RAZE | $2.99 | 458 85% | 14k | $41k (exactly $41,083) | KOTARO YOSHIDA | |
 | TOUHOU RHAPSODY OF MOON RABBIT | · EA | $9.99 | 47 82% | 1.4k | $14k (exactly $14,086) | 瓦尔基里游戏 |
 | WHISPERS OF GODDESS | $11.49 | 30 50% | 900 | $10k (exactly $10,341) | Ion studio | |
 | DopePie Survivors 3D | $5.99 | 41 92% | 1.2k | $7.4k (exactly $7,368) | Dope Games | |
 | Captain Gazman Day Of The Rage | $6.99 | 31 96% | 930 | $6.5k (exactly $6,501) | Les Kalifas, Kazarma, VEB Videospielewe… (Les Kalifas, Kazarma, VEB Videospielewerk 'Bewegungsdruiden') | |
 | Guns of Succubus 2 | $11.99 | 18 72% | 540 | $6.5k (exactly $6,475) | RakuRai |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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