Should I ship a Rhythm JRPG?
JRPG + Rhythm
Only 8 developers shipped a Rhythm JRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Everhood 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $91k against a market of $630. 18 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $11k (exactly $11,372) |
|---|---|
| Median | $91k (exactly $90,668) |
| Top 25% | $292k (exactly $291,633) |
| Top 5% | $1.3M (exactly $1,323,538) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 33 |
| Announced | 18 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $19.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- JRPG, Rhythm
- Price point
- $19.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 10,733 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $12k. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
JRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Mystery DungeonStrong odds
- + NinjaFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + ManagementFair
- + Souls-likeFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + LootFair
- + RoguelikeFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
Comparable games
Yakuza 5 Remastered 2021 · $3.7M 
Everhood 2 2025 · $1.3M 
People of Note 2026 · $292k 
Gurumin: A Monstrous Adventure 2015 · $207k 
Keylocker | Turn Based Cyberpunk Action 2024 · $135k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Yakuza 5 Remastered | older | $19.99 | 6,199 88% | 186k | $3.7M (exactly $3,717,540) | RGG Studio |
| | Everhood 2 | $19.99 | 2,207 74% | 66k | $1.3M (exactly $1,323,538) | Chris Nordgren, Jordi Roca | |
| | People of Note | $24.99 | 389 89% | 12k | $292k (exactly $291,633) | Iridium Studios | |
| | Gurumin: A Monstrous Adventure | older | $9.99 | 692 91% | 21k | $207k (exactly $207,392) | Nihon Falcom, Mastiff |
| | Keylocker | Turn Based Cyberpunk Action | $19.99 | 225 84% | 6.8k | $135k (exactly $134,932) | Moonana | |
 | Sweet Succubus Home | $10.99 | 275 92% | 8.3k | $91k (exactly $90,668) | Black Cat Entertainment | |
 | Steel Century Groove | $19.99 | 98 94% | 2.9k | $59k (exactly $58,771) | Sloth Gloss Games | |
 | Dino Hazard: Chronos Blackout | older | $24.99 | 78 88% | 2.3k | $58k (exactly $58,477) | Bone Collectors |
 | Ark Mobius | older | $4.99 | 325 89% | 9.8k | $49k (exactly $48,652) | YellowDuckWorks |
 | DesktopMMD3:Miss Fish | older | $3.99 | 245 71% | 7.4k | $29k (exactly $29,326) | XDesktopSoft |
 | 泳装乱舞 | $3.99 | 95 75% | 2.9k | $11k (exactly $11,372) | 1v1combat | |
 | ARIE: Moonprayer | $16.99 | 20 95% | 600 | $10k (exactly $10,194) | PhantomWorks | |
 | Menhera Farm | $6.99 | 12 83% | 360 | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) | Sugar Star, シュガースター |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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