Do I ship it?

GamesJRPGJRPG + Real Time Tactics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Real Time Tactics JRPG?

JRPG + Real Time Tactics

Only 9 developers shipped a Real Time Tactics JRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Fox Sex Farm, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×8.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $22k against a market of $630. 24 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 35.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 24 announced, ×8.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
JRPG + Real Time Tactics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $51k → $22k
Outcomes for JRPG + Real Time Tactics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $899 (exactly $899)
Median $22k (exactly $22,189)
Top 25% $51k (exactly $50,949)
Top 5% $223k (exactly $222,896)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 34
Announced 24
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

JRPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
JRPG, Real Time Tactics
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 6,025 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $22k, 1 in 4 over $50k, 1 in 20 over $220k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

JRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds12 devs · median $54k · 6 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  3. + NinjaFair7 devs · median $19k · 10 announced
  4. + RomanceFair153 devs · median $13k · 164 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair219 devs · median $13k · 265 announced
  6. + ManagementFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair41 devs · median $8.4k · 45 announced
  9. + LootFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair85 devs · median $5.2k · 103 announced
  11. + 2D PlatformerFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligenceFair25 devs · median $4.0k · 21 announced

All 142 pairs on the JRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The DioField Chronicle older $59.99 685 49% 21k $1.2M (exactly $1,232,794) Square Enix, LANCARSE Ltd.
Legend of Mana older $29.99 1,132 78% 34k $1.0M (exactly $1,018,460) Square Enix, M2 Co., Ltd.
Cavalry Girls older $11.99 1,877 88% 56k $675k (exactly $675,157) 中子星游戏研究所
Fox Sex Farm $17.99 413 82% 12k $223k (exactly $222,896) R's
Bahamut2-dragon's bride older $9.99 584 97% 18k $175k (exactly $175,025) 王韋
Dream Hacker older $6.99 518 84% 16k $109k (exactly $108,625) Playmeow
Uncharted Ocean older $4.99 563 70% 17k $84k (exactly $84,281) HiRabbitgame
Touhou Spell Carnival $49.99 49 77% 1.5k $73k (exactly $73,485) Idea Factory, Compile Heart, STING
巴哈姆特1-REMAKE(BAHAMUT1-REMAKE) $9.99 170 95% 5.1k $51k (exactly $50,949) 王韋
Adventure Academia: The Fractured Continent older $39.99 34 26% 1.0k $41k (exactly $40,790) ACQUIRE Corp.
Necro Story $14.99 73 89% 2.2k $33k (exactly $32,828) Rablo Games
UltraGirl Alters $19.99 37 64% 1.1k $22k (exactly $22,189) FutureInvention
Demon Princess Retreat $3.99 21 85% 630 $2.5k (exactly $2,514) OneShotStudio, SamAFEI
Dark SlayeR $14.99 2 50% 60 $899 (exactly $899) Funchgame
poker dungeon $3.99 3 33% 90 $359 (exactly $359) LcsStudio
Last Wave $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Novae Interactive LTD

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.