Do I ship it?

Games › JRPG › JRPG + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Platformer JRPG?

JRPG + Puzzle Platformer

Only 11 developers shipped a Puzzle Platformer JRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Fallen Tear: The Ascension, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, ×0.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $160k, ×265 the market median. Revenue is up 380% on the market; 29 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 380% on the market, 29 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
JRPG + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $8.2k → $31k → $449 → $1.9k → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for JRPG + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,565)
Top 5% $166k (exactly $166,433)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 54
Announced 29
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 380% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

JRPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
JRPG, Puzzle Platformer
Price point
$2.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 510 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $480, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

JRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds12 devs · median $54k · 6 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  3. + NinjaFair7 devs · median $19k · 10 announced
  4. + RomanceFair153 devs · median $13k · 164 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair219 devs · median $13k · 265 announced
  6. + ManagementFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair41 devs · median $8.4k · 45 announced
  9. + LootFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair85 devs · median $5.2k · 103 announced
  11. + 2D PlatformerFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligenceFair25 devs · median $4.0k · 21 announced

All 142 pairs on the JRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition 2021 · $6.5M Phoenotopia: Awakening 2021 · $1.7M Fallen Tear: The Ascension 2026 · EA · $166k Cursed Armor 2 2025 · $113k Kakuriyo Village ~Moratorium of Adolescence~ 2024 · $109k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition older $24.99 8,722 96% 262k $6.5M (exactly $6,538,883) SIGONO INC.
Phoenotopia: Awakening older $19.99 2,755 82% 83k $1.7M (exactly $1,652,173) Cape Cosmic
Fallen Tear: The Ascension · EA $24.99 222 81% 6.7k $166k (exactly $166,433) Winter Crew Studios
Cursed Armor 2 $15.99 236 84% 7.1k $113k (exactly $113,209) wolfgame
Kakuriyo Village ~Moratorium of Adolescence~ older $24.99 146 75% 4.4k $109k (exactly $109,456) I'm moralist
Wanna Make It older $10.99 293 97% 8.8k $97k (exactly $96,602) CQGAME
第五件遗留物 older $4.99 380 88% 11k $57k (exactly $56,886) 狼烟游戏studio, 雪糕棒
时空传说：佣兵王战记 older $7.99 129 84% 3.9k $31k (exactly $30,921) 阳巅疯工作室
网瘾少年2005 Internet addicted youth 2005 older $1.99 426 96% 13k $25k (exactly $25,432) KayKay工作室
Save me Mr Tako: Definitive Edition older $14.99 35 71% 1.1k $16k (exactly $15,740) Christophe Galati
SixteenPetals · EA $6.99 17 47% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) Husky366Studio
Dreaming on the last light 人偶馆绮幻夜 $12.99 5 20% 150 $1.9k (exactly $1,948) Everlasting游戏制作组
Dark Cage1：Reincarnation For Salvation $4.99 8 100% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) zhuzi1, 言溪
Tales of the Phantom World $3.99 4 50% 120 $479 (exactly $479) SSSXXXGame
The Broken Clock $4.99 3 33% 90 $449 (exactly $449) David Bassols Colls
Hentai Tales: The Red Act In Lockdown $0.99 8 87% 240 $238 (exactly $238) Hentai works
Incestuous Affair $2.99 2 0% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Alright Peaches Studio
Hentai Tales: Infinite Climax-Endless Ecstasy $0.99 5 100% 150 $148 (exactly $148) Hentai works

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.