Should I ship an Otome JRPG?
JRPG + Otome
Only 11 developers shipped an Otome JRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 灾厄黑龙与谎言公主, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×7.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $34k against a market of $630. 15 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $8.7k (exactly $8,691) |
|---|---|
| Median | $34k (exactly $33,762) |
| Top 25% | $157k (exactly $156,513) |
| Top 5% | $1.1M (exactly $1,103,495) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 15 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 80% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- JRPG, Otome
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 5,445 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $8.7k. 4 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
JRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Mystery DungeonStrong odds
- + NinjaFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + ManagementFair
- + Souls-likeFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + LootFair
- + RoguelikeFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
Comparable games
灾厄黑龙与谎言公主 2025 · $1.1M 
Ken ga Kimi: Momoyo Tsuzuri 2020 · $286k 
EPHEMERAL -FANTASY ON DARK- 2018 · $208k 
Trap of MUSK:Europe Night 2023 · $184k 
Touhou Blooming Soul 2026 · EA · $164k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 灾厄黑龙与谎言公主 | $9.99 | 3,682 90% | 110k | $1.1M (exactly $1,103,495) | 莓夜工作室 | |
| | Ken ga Kimi: Momoyo Tsuzuri | older | $49.99 | 191 86% | 5.7k | $286k (exactly $286,443) | Rejet |
| | EPHEMERAL -FANTASY ON DARK- | older | $39.99 | 173 87% | 5.2k | $208k (exactly $207,548) | dramatic create |
| | Trap of MUSK:Europe Night | older | $29.99 | 204 67% | 6.1k | $184k (exactly $183,539) | IDEA FACTORY, Frontier Works |
| | Touhou Blooming Soul | · EA | $5.99 | 911 96% | 27k | $164k (exactly $163,707) | 二色幽紫蝶 |
 | The Silent Kingdom | · EA | $17.99 | 290 99% | 8.7k | $157k (exactly $156,513) | Lucky Cat |
 | Embarrassed Shina-chan~ the Naked Wandering College Girl | older | $19.99 | 167 60% | 5.0k | $100k (exactly $100,150) | かわいそうなのは抜ける |
 | Guardian of the Sacred Seal | $19.99 | 123 96% | 3.7k | $74k (exactly $73,763) | STUDIO SPUTNIK | |
 | Apex Heroines | older | $19.99 | 91 87% | 2.7k | $55k (exactly $54,573) | XIAOXIAO STUDIO |
 | 甜點王子2 典藏版 | older | $9.99 | 179 88% | 5.4k | $54k (exactly $53,646) | EnjoyPlay Corp. |
 | Veloria | $14.99 | 100 89% | 3.0k | $45k (exactly $44,970) | WANDERING WITCH PROIECTUM | |
 | The Dawning Letters -Sunrise- | $6.99 | 161 95% | 4.8k | $34k (exactly $33,762) | 戏幻言制作组 | |
 | 唯 | $5.99 | 121 85% | 3.6k | $22k (exactly $21,744) | 无垠预言制作组 | |
 | 搜查一刻 | $9.99 | 29 68% | 870 | $8.7k (exactly $8,691) | Yai | |
 | 游郭惊梦 | $9.99 | 23 82% | 690 | $6.9k (exactly $6,893) | 做完散伙制作组 | |
 | Dreaming on the last light 人偶馆绮幻夜 | $12.99 | 5 20% | 150 | $1.9k (exactly $1,948) | Everlasting游戏制作组 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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