Games › JRPG › JRPG + Lovecraftian
Should I ship a Lovecraftian JRPG?
JRPG + Lovecraftian
Only 11 developers shipped a Lovecraftian JRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, BLACK SOULS, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×5.0 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $3.0M, ×4903 the market median. Revenue is up 130% on the market; 30 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.1k (exactly $3,116) |
| Top 25% | $33k (exactly $32,984) |
| Top 5% | $3.1M (exactly $3,079,339) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 42 |
| Announced | 30 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $13.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 130% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- JRPG
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Lovecraftian
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- JRPG
- Price point
- $13.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 95% positive over 14,138 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
JRPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Mystery DungeonStrong odds
- + NinjaFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + ManagementFair
- + Souls-likeFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + LootFair
- + RoguelikeFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Fear & Hunger 2: Termina | older | $11.99 | 14,232 97% | 427k | $5.1M (exactly $5,119,250) | Miro Haverinen |
| | Fear & Hunger | older | $7.99 | 20,881 94% | 626k | $5.0M (exactly $5,005,176) | Miro Haverinen |
| | Impostor Factory | older | $9.99 | 11,967 95% | 359k | $3.6M (exactly $3,586,510) | Freebird Games |
| | Yog-Sothoth’s Yard | older | $10.99 | 10,207 93% | 306k | $3.4M (exactly $3,365,248) | Bone Nail |
| | BLACK SOULS | $13.99 | 7,337 95% | 220k | $3.1M (exactly $3,079,339) | Eeny, meeny, miny, moe? | |
| | BLACK SOULS II | $13.99 | 5,277 97% | 158k | $2.2M (exactly $2,214,757) | Eeny, meeny, miny, moe? | |
| | Welcome to Elderfield | $17.99 | 1,334 87% | 40k | $720k (exactly $719,960) | Chris Cote | |
| | Cthulhu Saves the World | older | $2.99 | 3,001 92% | 90k | $269k (exactly $269,190) | Zeboyd Digital Entertainment LLC |
| | Cthulhu Saves Christmas | older | $9.99 | 293 90% | 8.8k | $88k (exactly $87,812) | Zeboyd Digital Entertainment LLC |
| | Evening Starter | older | $14.99 | 142 79% | 4.3k | $64k (exactly $63,857) | baron sengia |
| | Night of The Black Goat | $19.99 | 55 83% | 1.7k | $33k (exactly $32,984) | サークルREN | |
| | Yunashi no Yume | $14.99 | 58 87% | 1.7k | $26k (exactly $26,083) | The Yunashi Archive | |
| | RAVENSBURG | $14.99 | 45 95% | 1.4k | $20k (exactly $20,236) | Lilian Duleroux | |
| | Signal Creek | $7.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $3.1k (exactly $3,116) | snacktime games | |
| | OCEANIDES of the World's End: Legend of the Big-Breasted Swimsuit Beauty Guardian | $8.99 | 8 25% | 240 | $2.2k (exactly $2,158) | TIFON STUDIO EIROS | |
| | NECRONOMICAT | $4.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) | GROOVY GORY GAMES | |
| | Uncanny Valley: Le Petit Morte | $14.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $450 (exactly $450) | Chris King |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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