Should I ship a Logic JRPG?
JRPG + Logic
Only 6 developers shipped a Logic JRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Trainee Death Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $5.9k against a market of $630. 16 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.6k (exactly $1,552) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.9k (exactly $5,876) |
| Top 25% | $8.9k (exactly $8,900) |
| Top 5% | $314k (exactly $313,756) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 34 |
| Announced | 16 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 155% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- JRPG, Logic
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $6.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 9,989 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.6k. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
JRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Mystery DungeonStrong odds
- + NinjaFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + ManagementFair
- + Souls-likeFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + LootFair
- + RoguelikeFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
Comparable games
Word Game 2022 · $6.2M 
Trainee Death Simulator 2024 · $314k 
Escape from the Room of the Serving Doll 2024 · $95k 
Suicide Countdown: 7 Days 2021 · $59k 
Kanna Maze 2024 · $44k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Word Game | older | $34.99 | 5,930 93% | 178k | $6.2M (exactly $6,224,721) | Team9 |
| | Trainee Death Simulator | $5.99 | 1,746 92% | 52k | $314k (exactly $313,756) | Bone Nail | |
| | Escape from the Room of the Serving Doll | older | $6.99 | 451 84% | 14k | $95k (exactly $94,575) | 桃山プロダクション |
| | Suicide Countdown: 7 Days | older | $1.99 | 989 79% | 30k | $59k (exactly $59,043) | 致意 |
| | Kanna Maze | older | $3.99 | 369 88% | 11k | $44k (exactly $44,169) | 致意 |
 | LOLLIPOP: SUMMER! | older | $4.99 | 156 54% | 4.7k | $23k (exactly $23,353) | TheBoys, Hijiri Yuzuki |
 | Project: Sword Art | older | $4.99 | 124 50% | 3.7k | $19k (exactly $18,563) | 430Games, BOA |
 | Work Life Balance | $8.99 | 33 96% | 990 | $8.9k (exactly $8,900) | LandUni Studio | |
 | WTF Do You Know? | older | $1.99 | 149 95% | 4.5k | $8.9k (exactly $8,895) | Randumb Studios |
 | Alum | older | $4.99 | 42 69% | 1.3k | $6.3k (exactly $6,287) | Crashable Studios |
 | Wide Slash Hero | $13.99 | 14 92% | 420 | $5.9k (exactly $5,876) | CelBranch | |
 | Elf World Adventure | $1.99 | 69 66% | 2.1k | $4.1k (exactly $4,119) | 430Games | |
 | SixteenPetals | · EA | $6.99 | 17 47% | 510 | $3.6k (exactly $3,565) | Husky366Studio |
 | Elf World Adventure 3 | $1.99 | 26 84% | 780 | $1.6k (exactly $1,552) | 430Games | |
 | FoxHaunt | $4.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | enciorcal | |
 | My Gym Adventure! | $3.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | 430Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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