Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based TacticsTurn-Based Tactics + Investigation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Investigation Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Investigation

Only 9 developers shipped an Investigation Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Paracom, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $210, ×0.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60. 29 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper, while momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 29 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Investigation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.8k → $1.9k → $150 (still earning) → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Investigation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $210 (exactly $210)
Top 25% $629 (exactly $629)
Top 5% $6.9k (exactly $6,924)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 43
Announced 29
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 700% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics, Investigation
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 1,515 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $210, 1 in 4 over $620, 1 in 20 over $6.9k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mohism: Battle of Words older $9.99 570 76% 17k $171k (exactly $170,829) 玄镜工作室
Lost Dimension older $24.99 221 72% 6.6k $166k (exactly $165,684) FURYU Corporation
Midnight Protocol older $14.99 237 87% 7.1k $107k (exactly $106,579) LuGus Studios
The Magister older $14.99 103 91% 3.1k $46k (exactly $46,319) Nerdook Productions
Supercow older $7.99 183 97% 5.5k $44k (exactly $43,865) Nevosoft
The Chronicles of Lancelot GOLD older $24.99 49 65% 1.5k $37k (exactly $36,735) Gayeti
Border Conqueror older $6.99 104 53% 3.1k $22k (exactly $21,809) Kanoe
Paracom $10.99 21 90% 630 $6.9k (exactly $6,924) Steel Widow Klan
COPS 2170 The Power of Law older $11.99 13 69% 390 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) GFI
PARTY RUSH!! older $9.99 14 64% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) SECHAN
Hexa's Gone $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) DevloCore
NETBREAK $6.99 3 66% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Splice
Critternauts $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) Gergo V
Caduceus Quest $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Resilient Games Studio, LLC
Echoes of the Cave $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Tifinagh Games
Yorvik's Game $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Firewake///Trails
Fragmentary $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) OguzhanBozkurtGames
CATAL CARTA $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) OLC Salon Lab

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.