Do I ship it?

GamesSouls-likeSouls-like + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Interactive Fiction Souls-like?

Souls-like + Interactive Fiction

Only 16 developers shipped an Interactive Fiction Souls-like in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, VR-Kanojo, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×0.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×194 the market median. Revenue is up 17055% on the market; 18 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 17055% on the market, 18 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Souls-like + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $299 → $479 → $26k → $122k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Souls-like + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $46k (exactly $45,783)
Top 5% $290k (exactly $290,347)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 29
Announced 18
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 17055% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Souls-like
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Souls-like, Interactive Fiction
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 1,708 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $45k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Souls-like with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds17 devs · median $34k · 8 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair25 devs · median $27k · 17 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair13 devs · median $22k · 17 announced
  4. + JRPGFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair9 devs · median $3.9k · 10 announced
  6. + PsychologicalFair17 devs · median $1.8k · 17 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerLong shot49 devs · median $776 · 46 announced
  9. + Score AttackLong shot18 devs · median $599 · 21 announced
  10. + WarPoor odds8 devs · median $451k · 22 announced
  11. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds12 devs · median $88k · 21 announced
  12. + RomancePoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 16 announced

All 122 pairs on the Souls-like page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SCARLET NEXUS older $59.99 13,749 81% 412k $25M (exactly $24,744,075) BANDAI NAMCO Studios Inc.
Yusetsu older $16.99 1,262 88% 38k $643k (exactly $643,241) DSGame
VR-Kanojo $54.99 176 63% 5.3k $290k (exactly $290,347) ILLUMINATION
The Married Woman Nextdoor - Creampie SEX Beside Her Husband $9.99 933 86% 28k $280k (exactly $279,620) AibanWork
Kromlech · EA $29.99 136 65% 4.1k $122k (exactly $122,359) Perun Creative
中国式地雷女 $7.99 191 73% 5.7k $46k (exactly $45,783) 钟夏游戏(ZHONGXIA GAMES)
Beauty’s Target $8.99 126 69% 3.8k $34k (exactly $33,982) Beauty’s Target
Reimu Needs Help!? Aunn-chan to the Rescue! older $6.99 157 96% 4.7k $33k (exactly $32,923) ISY
Three Wishes $11.99 75 98% 2.3k $27k (exactly $26,978) Kyuppin
Death Frame $14.99 57 98% 1.7k $26k (exactly $25,633) EpiXR Games UG
Find Me $4.99 8 50% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Ludmila Pislova, Hana Bauerova
Misery Avenue $3.99 4 100% 120 $479 (exactly $479) Miseryous Games
Aeonic $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) dev

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.