Do I ship it?

GamesPuzzle PlatformerPuzzle Platformer + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Interactive Fiction Puzzle Platformer?

Puzzle Platformer + Interactive Fiction

Of 61 developers who shipped an Interactive Fiction Puzzle Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 104 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 32 developers shipped in the last year and 104 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 60% on the market, 104 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Puzzle Platformer + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 61
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $1.5k → $298 → $955 → $598 → $1.1k → $359 (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Puzzle Platformer + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 61
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,992)
Top 5% $15k (exactly $14,735)
Developers, 2 yr 61
Released games 191
Announced 104
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Puzzle Platformer, Interactive Fiction; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, RPG, Puzzle
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich, Emotional
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 3,474 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $14k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 39 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 104 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Puzzle Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceFair41 devs · median $1.5k · 38 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair20 devs · median $1.1k · 26 announced
  3. + Life SimFair20 devs · median $657 · 21 announced
  4. + SimulationFair216 devs · median $479 · 181 announced
  5. + Grid-Based MovementFair62 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  6. + SokobanFair51 devs · median $358 · 49 announced
  7. + LovecraftianPoor odds11 devs · median $9.3k · 22 announced
  8. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  9. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds91 devs · median $5.3k · 264 announced
  10. + SwordplayPoor odds8 devs · median $4.2k · 19 announced
  11. + Split ScreenPoor odds24 devs · median $3.6k · 35 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.0k · 80 announced

All 169 pairs on the Puzzle Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition older $24.99 8,722 96% 262k $6.5M (exactly $6,538,883) SIGONO INC.
Old Man's Journey older $9.99 2,871 87% 86k $860k (exactly $860,439) Broken Rules
Vanity Fair: The Pursuit older $6.99 4,014 87% 120k $842k (exactly $841,736) 木焱工作室
Game of Fate 2: A Century's Promise $15.99 1,054 78% 32k $506k (exactly $505,604) KARMAGAME HK LIMITED
Paper Bride older $7.99 2,030 91% 61k $487k (exactly $486,591) HeartBeat Plus
Game Of Fate 3:Clash Of Crowns $16.79 734 85% 22k $370k (exactly $369,716) KARMAGAME HK LIMITED
SILT older $14.99 793 79% 24k $357k (exactly $356,612) Spiral Circus Games
Game of Fate: Chasing Through Time $10.99 986 88% 30k $325k (exactly $325,084) KARMAGAME HK LIMITED
Paper Bride 2 Zangling Village older $9.99 1,010 91% 30k $303k (exactly $302,697) HeartBeat Plus
Paper Bride 3 Unresolved Love older $9.99 874 92% 26k $262k (exactly $261,938) HeartBeat Plus
Paper Bride 7 Lethal Bond $9.99 218 92% 6.5k $65k (exactly $65,335) HeartBeat Plus
春泥 Soil of Rebirth $9.99 216 73% 6.5k $65k (exactly $64,735) 午夜说书人
Homicide Desk $5.99 82 67% 2.5k $15k (exactly $14,735) Shu'la Lab LLC
Kejora $17.99 26 76% 780 $14k (exactly $14,032) Berangin Creative
Blueberry $12.49 34 100% 1.0k $13k (exactly $12,740) MELLOW Games
Winter Clothing $9.99 41 75% 1.2k $12k (exactly $12,288) 坤舆科技
TEAM PANIC $3.99 83 62% 2.5k $9.9k (exactly $9,935) Furko

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.