Do I ship it?

GamesParty-Based RPGParty-Based RPG + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Interactive Fiction Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG + Interactive Fiction

Of 20 developers who shipped an Interactive Fiction Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×4.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $890; 1 in 20 cleared $1.3M, ×2119 the market median. Revenue is up 1210% on the market; 41 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 1210% on the market, 41 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $1.8k → $3.0k → $84k → $22k → $2.4k (still earning) → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $888 (exactly $888)
Median $3.0k (exactly $3,045)
Top 25% $79k (exactly $78,521)
Top 5% $1.3M (exactly $1,330,870)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 58
Announced 41
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1210% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG, Interactive Fiction; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Action RPG
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Anime, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 9,124 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $890, median $3.0k, 1 in 4 over $78k, 1 in 20 over $1.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $890. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds5 devs · median $230k · 16 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  12. + IncrementalPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 45 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sora no Kiseki the 1st $59.99 5,205 97% 156k $9.4M (exactly $9,367,438) Nihon Falcom
Pyre older $19.99 8,396 90% 252k $5.0M (exactly $5,035,081) Supergiant Games
The Legend of Heroes: Kuro no Kiseki older $49.99 1,316 91% 39k $2.0M (exactly $1,973,605) Nihon Falcom
The Legend of Heroes: Kuro no Kiseki Ⅱ -CRIMSON SiN- older $59.99 789 76% 24k $1.4M (exactly $1,419,963) Nihon Falcom
The Legend of Heroes: Kai no Kiseki -Farewell, O Zemuria- $57.99 765 77% 23k $1.3M (exactly $1,330,870) Nihon Falcom
FLAM EVAW $9.99 1,378 95% 41k $413k (exactly $412,987) 北京万合瑞晟文化传媒有限公司
Trails in the Sky 2nd Chapter $59.99 171 97% 5.1k $308k (exactly $307,749) Nihon Falcom
AI Roguelite older $14.99 597 83% 18k $268k (exactly $268,471) Max Loh
Loren The Amazon Princess older $19.99 436 83% 13k $261k (exactly $261,469) Winter Wolves
Athenian Rhapsody older $14.99 320 91% 9.6k $144k (exactly $143,904) Nico Papalia
Erannorth Renaissance $19.99 186 81% 5.6k $112k (exactly $111,544) Spyridon Thalassinos
Chained in the Backrooms · EA $2.99 933 68% 28k $84k (exactly $83,690) Task+ Studios
Heroines of Swords & Spells 2 $9.99 262 93% 7.9k $79k (exactly $78,521) Kirillkrm
Vampire Syndicate: Gangs of MoonFall · EA $19.99 111 71% 3.3k $67k (exactly $66,567) A Memory of Eternity
Thousand Hells: The Underworld Heists $24.99 76 78% 2.3k $57k (exactly $56,977) A Sharp
UltraGirl Alters $19.99 37 64% 1.1k $22k (exactly $22,189) FutureInvention

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.