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Should I ship a WWII Immersive Sim?
Immersive Sim + World War II
Only 11 developers shipped a WWII Immersive Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Indiana Jones and the Great Circle, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $110k, ×70 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $7.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $27M, ×18303 the market median. Revenue is up 225% on the market; 26 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $7.2k (exactly $7,195) |
|---|---|
| Median | $105k (exactly $105,265) |
| Top 25% | $508k (exactly $507,946) |
| Top 5% | $27M (exactly $27,417,883) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 52 |
| Announced | 26 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $19.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 225% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Immersive Sim
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- World War II
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Immersive Sim
- Price point
- $19.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 92% positive over 28,100 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $7.2k. 5 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Immersive Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Trading Card GameStrong odds
- + MinigamesStrong odds
- + WesternStrong odds
- + BoxingStrong odds
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + RomanceFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Split ScreenFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Indiana Jones and the Great Circle | $69.99 | 13,058 89% | 392k | $27M (exactly $27,417,883) | MachineGames | |
| | Red Orchestra 2: Heroes of Stalingrad with Rising Storm | older | $19.99 | 24,876 93% | 746k | $15M (exactly $14,918,137) | Tripwire Interactive |
| | IRON NEST: Heavy Turret Simulator | $19.99 | 13,278 97% | 398k | $8.0M (exactly $7,962,817) | Nick Nieuwoudt, Dominik Latos | |
| | DEFCON | older | $11.99 | 3,460 86% | 104k | $1.2M (exactly $1,244,562) | Introversion Software |
| | WW2 Rebuilder | older | $19.99 | 1,504 84% | 45k | $902k (exactly $901,949) | Madnetic Games |
| | Cyanotype Daydream -The Girl Who Dreamed the World- | older | $39.99 | 710 88% | 21k | $852k (exactly $851,787) | Laplacian |
| | Destroyer: The U-Boat Hunter | older | $29.99 | 852 73% | 26k | $767k (exactly $766,544) | Iron Wolf Studio S.A. |
| | Model Builder: Complete Edition | older | $19.99 | 1,058 74% | 32k | $634k (exactly $634,483) | Moonlit S.A. |
| | Tank Squad | $19.99 | 847 70% | 25k | $508k (exactly $507,946) | DeGenerals S.A. | |
| | My Child Lebensborn Remastered | older | $7.99 | 1,299 96% | 39k | $311k (exactly $311,370) | Teknopilot AS, Sarepta Studio AS |
| | Battleship Command | · EA | $24.99 | 278 93% | 8.3k | $208k (exactly $208,417) | Bracer |
| | Osta | $13.99 | 347 87% | 10k | $146k (exactly $145,636) | Cup | |
| | Sherman Commander | $29.99 | 117 64% | 3.5k | $105k (exactly $105,265) | Iron Wolf Studio S.A. | |
| | Ship Explorer | $19.99 | 134 84% | 4.0k | $80k (exactly $80,360) | Turbine Room Studio | |
| | D-Day VR Museum | $14.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $7.2k (exactly $7,195) | Lichtblau IT | |
| | Of Crowns & Chains | · EA | $4.99 | 17 64% | 510 | $2.5k (exactly $2,545) | BlueJayAvis |
| | Tank Simulator | $8.99 | 8 12% | 240 | $2.2k (exactly $2,158) | Imperian Online - Praha |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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