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Should I ship a Walking Simulator Immersive Sim?
Immersive Sim + Walking Simulator
Of 414 developers who shipped a Walking Simulator Immersive Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 537 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×1.1 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×93 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 537 games are announced against 240 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $479 (exactly $479) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.6k (exactly $1,615) |
| Top 25% | $7.3k (exactly $7,340) |
| Top 5% | $139k (exactly $138,638) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 414 |
| Released games | 927 |
| Announced | 537 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Immersive Sim
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- Walking Simulator
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Immersive Sim, Walking Simulator; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Simulation, Exploration
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
- Art
- 7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 42,213 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 247 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 537 games are announced against 240 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Trading Card GameStrong odds
- + MinigamesStrong odds
- + WesternStrong odds
- + BoxingStrong odds
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + RomanceFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Split ScreenFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | theHunter: Call of the Wild™ | older | $19.99 | 170,472 89% | 5.1M | $102M (exactly $102,232,058) | Expansive Worlds |
| | My Winter Car | · EA | $14.99 | 18,614 94% | 558k | $8.4M (exactly $8,370,716) | Amistech Games |
| | Call of the Wild: The Angler™ | older | $29.99 | 6,122 63% | 184k | $5.5M (exactly $5,507,963) | Expansive Worlds |
| | Streamer Life Simulator | older | $19.99 | 7,066 77% | 212k | $4.2M (exactly $4,237,480) | Cheesecake Dev |
| | INFRA | older | $29.99 | 3,467 88% | 104k | $3.1M (exactly $3,119,260) | Loiste Interactive |
| | King of Retail | older | $25.99 | 2,982 88% | 89k | $2.3M (exactly $2,325,065) | Freaking Games |
| | Train Sim World® 2020 | older | $12.99 | 5,912 77% | 177k | $2.3M (exactly $2,303,906) | Dovetail Games |
| | Pathologic Classic HD | older | $12.99 | 3,931 87% | 118k | $1.5M (exactly $1,531,911) | Ice-Pick Lodge, General Arcade |
| | The Exit 8 | older | $3.99 | 10,946 93% | 328k | $1.3M (exactly $1,310,236) | KOTAKE CREATE |
| | Ultimate Fishing® Simulator 2 | $19.99 | 2,077 66% | 62k | $1.2M (exactly $1,245,577) | Silent Bear Studio, SHINING GAMES | |
| | The Complex: Expedition | $14.99 | 2,620 89% | 79k | $1.2M (exactly $1,178,214) | pgWave | |
| | DON'T SCREAM | $7.99 | 4,505 65% | 135k | $1.1M (exactly $1,079,848) | Digital Cybercherries | |
| | Prison Escape Simulator: Dig Out | $7.99 | 3,490 85% | 105k | $837k (exactly $836,553) | Digital Melody | |
| | Lushfoil Photography Sim | $14.99 | 1,718 91% | 52k | $773k (exactly $772,585) | Matt2 | |
| | Millennium Dream | $7.99 | 2,598 92% | 78k | $623k (exactly $622,741) | LucidDreamLab | |
| | DON'T SCREAM TOGETHER | $7.99 | 2,314 49% | 69k | $555k (exactly $554,666) | Digital Cybercherries | |
| | Supermarket Chaos | $4.99 | 3,266 92% | 98k | $489k (exactly $488,920) | BunnyHop | |
| | despelote | $14.99 | 1,011 95% | 30k | $455k (exactly $454,647) | Julián Cordero, Sebastian Valbuena |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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