Do I ship it?

Games › Immersive Sim › Immersive Sim + Turn-Based

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Turn-Based

Only 6 developers shipped a Turn-Based Immersive Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Monster Breeder, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 2 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $17k against a market of $1.5k. 2 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 11.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 295% on the market, 2 announced, ×0.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Turn-Based
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Turn-Based: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $2.2k (exactly $2,155)
Median $17k (exactly $16,546)
Top 25% $63k (exactly $63,173)
Top 5% $245k (exactly $244,718)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 29
Announced 2
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 295% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Turn-Based
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, Turn-Based
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 22,586 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.2k, median $17k, 1 in 4 over $63k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.2k. 2 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

ROMANCE OF THE THREE KINGDOMS XIV 2020 · $24M Mars Horizon 2020 · $1.7M ATOM RPG Trudograd 2021 · $1.3M UnReal World 2016 · $532k The Monster Breeder 2025 · $245k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ROMANCE OF THE THREE KINGDOMS XIV older $59.99 13,086 62% 393k $24M (exactly $23,550,874) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Mars Horizon older $19.99 2,757 84% 83k $1.7M (exactly $1,653,373) Auroch Digital
ATOM RPG Trudograd older $10.99 3,976 83% 119k $1.3M (exactly $1,310,887) AtomTeam
UnReal World older $14.50 1,224 93% 37k $532k (exactly $532,440) Sami Maaranen (creator), Erkka Lehmus (… (Sami Maaranen (creator), Erkka Lehmus (co-designer))
The Monster Breeder $29.99 272 91% 8.2k $245k (exactly $244,718) Fantasy Creations
Dream Sketcher older $11.99 390 55% 12k $140k (exactly $140,283) RisingPunch Studio
NOBUNAGA'S AMBITION: Tenkasousei with Power Up Kit older $29.99 148 74% 4.4k $133k (exactly $133,156) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Eldrea: SEX Saga 🔞 older $9.99 375 66% 11k $112k (exactly $112,388) Taboo Tales 💘
NOBUNAGA'S AMBITION: Tenshouki with Power Up Kit HD Version older $54.99 56 62% 1.7k $92k (exactly $92,383) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
PRINCIPIA: Master of Science · EA older $9.99 302 69% 9.1k $91k (exactly $90,509) tomeapp
吾皇万岁 $4.99 422 68% 13k $63k (exactly $63,173) AI GAME STUDIO
Ruinlander · EA $11.99 46 69% 1.4k $17k (exactly $16,546) wineviper
Galactic Simulator2: Stargate $5.99 42 78% 1.3k $7.5k (exactly $7,547) PcZ Games
Pro Stone Curling $3.99 18 100% 540 $2.2k (exactly $2,155) SqwiiEGC
Roulette Pro Simulator · EA $5.99 2 0% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Hard Shark Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.