Games › Immersive Sim › Immersive Sim + Transhumanism
Should I ship a Transhumanist Immersive Sim?
Immersive Sim + Transhumanism
Only 10 developers shipped a Transhumanist Immersive Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ambrosia Sky, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×0.8 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×134 the market median. Revenue is up 205% on the market; 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $419 (exactly $419) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.1k (exactly $1,139) |
| Top 25% | $21k (exactly $21,279) |
| Top 5% | $200k (exactly $200,170) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 14 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $12.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 205% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Immersive Sim
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- Transhumanism
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Immersive Sim
- Price point
- $12.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 8 games average 91% positive over 419 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $420. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Immersive Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Trading Card GameStrong odds
- + MinigamesStrong odds
- + WesternStrong odds
- + BoxingStrong odds
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + RomanceFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Split ScreenFair
Comparable games
Deus Ex: Mankind Divided 2016 · $28M 
Deus Ex: Human Revolution - Director's Cut 2013 · $15M 
Deus Ex: The Fall 2014 · $1.1M 
Deus Ex: Invisible War 2007 · $461k 
Lightracer Spark 2023 · $378k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Deus Ex: Mankind Divided | older | $29.99 | 30,709 77% | 921k | $28M (exactly $27,628,887) | Eidos Montreal, Feral Interactive (Linu… (Eidos Montreal, Feral Interactive (Linux/Mac)) |
| | Deus Ex: Human Revolution - Director's Cut | older | $19.99 | 25,392 91% | 762k | $15M (exactly $15,227,582) | Eidos Montreal |
| | Deus Ex: The Fall | older | $9.99 | 3,762 37% | 113k | $1.1M (exactly $1,127,471) | · |
| | Deus Ex: Invisible War | older | $6.99 | 2,199 57% | 66k | $461k (exactly $461,130) | Ion Storm |
| | Lightracer Spark | older | $12.99 | 970 83% | 29k | $378k (exactly $378,009) | Smartmelon Games |
 | Cataclysm: Dark Days Ahead | older | $19.99 | 537 86% | 16k | $322k (exactly $322,039) | CleverRaven |
 | Ambrosia Sky | $24.99 | 267 89% | 8.0k | $200k (exactly $200,170) | Soft Rains, Blackbird Interactive | |
 | Mars Vice | $24.99 | 70 97% | 2.1k | $52k (exactly $52,479) | Rho Labyrinths GmbH | |
 | how to kill a fly [ H2KAF ] | $9.99 | 71 97% | 2.1k | $21k (exactly $21,279) | Radtel Collective | |
 | Research And Development 1 | older | $5.99 | 14 57% | 420 | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) | FullFrontalBeef |
 | Outsider | $12.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $1.9k (exactly $1,948) | Galantrix | |
 | Digital Humans | · EA | $18.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $1.1k (exactly $1,139) | binary.games |
 | Cataclysm: Bright Future Ahead | $18.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $570 (exactly $570) | GOLDEN CYCLE PTY LTD | |
 | Out of Your Mind | $6.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $419 (exactly $419) | 32 bita | |
 | Provisional Authority: An AI Governance Simulation | $5.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $180 (exactly $180) | Synthetic Mandate | |
 | Scropia | $5.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Luvenoid | |
 | NULL TRACE | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Andrei Uvarov |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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