Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + Tower Defense

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tower Defense Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Tower Defense

Only 11 developers shipped a Tower Defense Immersive Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Crown of Greed, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 23 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 2195% on the market, 23 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Tower Defense
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $3.5k → $6.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Tower Defense: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $6.6k (exactly $6,594)
Top 5% $408k (exactly $407,796)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 32
Announced 23
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2195% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Tower Defense
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, Tower Defense
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 61% positive over 1,062 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $300, 1 in 4 over $6.5k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Crown of Greed $19.99 680 60% 20k $408k (exactly $407,796) BLUM Entertainment
Dwarfs!? older $9.99 644 79% 19k $193k (exactly $193,007) Power of 2
Start Over $14.99 325 60% 9.8k $146k (exactly $146,152) EY-Studio
Unholy Heights older $3.99 1,129 90% 34k $135k (exactly $135,141) Petit Depotto
Merchants of Kaidan older $14.99 230 60% 6.9k $103k (exactly $103,431) Forever Entertainment S. A.
War of Wizards older $19.99 140 70% 4.2k $84k (exactly $83,958) Arcane Miracle Entertainment
Towerfolk · EA $10.99 20 70% 600 $6.6k (exactly $6,594) 99 Interactive
Dough or Die · EA $7.99 16 100% 480 $3.8k (exactly $3,835) Soundbyte Interactive
Tower Defender VR: Last Adventure older $19.99 6 66% 180 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Mastery VR
Medievaly: Battle Simulator $8.99 13 76% 390 $3.5k (exactly $3,506) Steelkrill Studio
FLAAK TD $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Oedipe Games, Oedipe Games
Happy Treasure King $2.99 2 50% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Happy.Gaming
Illegal Alien Tower Defense $1.99 3 100% 90 $179 (exactly $179) Forbidden Knowledge
Void Breaker $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) AA Mini Games Studio
The Mushroom Adventrue:Call of Distant Realms · EA $17.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Shenzhen Yiling Industrial Design Center

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.