Games › Immersive Sim › Immersive Sim + Supernatural
Should I ship a Supernatural Immersive Sim?
Immersive Sim + Supernatural
Of 147 developers who shipped a Supernatural Immersive Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 206 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.6k, ×1.7 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $160k, ×112 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 206 games are announced against 84 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $480 (exactly $480) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.6k (exactly $2,601) |
| Top 25% | $14k (exactly $13,922) |
| Top 5% | $168k (exactly $167,738) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 147 |
| Released games | 254 |
| Announced | 206 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Immersive Sim
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- Supernatural
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Immersive Sim; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Adventure, Exploration
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, First-Person, Realistic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 77% positive over 11,369 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $480. 7 in 10 of the 74 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 206 games are announced against 84 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Immersive Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Trading Card GameStrong odds
- + MinigamesStrong odds
- + WesternStrong odds
- + BoxingStrong odds
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + RomanceFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Split ScreenFair
Comparable games
Dishonored 2 2016 · $39M 
Vampire: The Masquerade - Bloodlines 2007 · $8.3M 
Amnesia: The Bunker 2023 · $7.8M 
Weird West: Definitive Edition 2022 · $4.8M 
Redfall 2023 · $3.0M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dishonored 2 | older | $29.99 | 42,988 90% | 1.3M | $39M (exactly $38,676,304) | Arkane Studios |
| | Vampire: The Masquerade - Bloodlines | older | $19.99 | 13,889 94% | 417k | $8.3M (exactly $8,329,233) | Troika Games |
| | Amnesia: The Bunker | older | $24.99 | 10,349 93% | 310k | $7.8M (exactly $7,758,645) | Frictional Games |
| | Weird West: Definitive Edition | older | $39.99 | 3,962 77% | 119k | $4.8M (exactly $4,753,211) | WolfEye Studios |
| | Redfall | older | $39.99 | 2,460 40% | 74k | $3.0M (exactly $2,951,262) | Arkane Austin |
 | Spellcaster University | older | $24.99 | 3,424 83% | 103k | $2.6M (exactly $2,566,973) | Sneaky Yak Studio |
 | Moonlight Peaks | $34.99 | 1,793 88% | 54k | $1.9M (exactly $1,882,112) | Little Chicken | |
 | DON'T SCREAM | $7.99 | 4,505 65% | 135k | $1.1M (exactly $1,079,848) | Digital Cybercherries | |
 | Mystwood Manor | older | $19.99 | 1,362 85% | 41k | $817k (exactly $816,791) | Faerin Games |
 | HELLMART | $14.99 | 1,034 77% | 31k | $465k (exactly $464,990) | GAZE IN GAMES | |
 | Stygian: Outer Gods | · EA | $24.99 | 516 80% | 15k | $387k (exactly $386,845) | Misterial Games |
 | 消失的航班，还有她她她！Lost in the secret! | $19.99 | 602 89% | 18k | $361k (exactly $361,019) | Humongous Pictures | |
 | ORDER 13 | $8.99 | 1,224 87% | 37k | $330k (exactly $330,113) | Cybernetic Walrus | |
 | No Players Online | $14.99 | 624 83% | 19k | $281k (exactly $280,613) | Beeswax Games | |
 | Unpossess: Exorcism Simulator | $14.99 | 373 70% | 11k | $168k (exactly $167,738) | Chreseeba Games | |
 | I'm on Observation Duty 7 | $11.99 | 426 93% | 13k | $153k (exactly $153,232) | Notovia, Dreamloop Games | |
 | SUFFOCATE | $16.99 | 272 83% | 8.2k | $139k (exactly $138,638) | Naughty Cow |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.