Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + Score Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Score Attack Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Score Attack

Of 42 developers who shipped a Score Attack Immersive Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 49 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×0.9 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $220k, ×151 the market median. Revenue is up 275% on the market; 49 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 275% on the market, 49 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Score Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 42
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $1.1k → $535 → $1.3k → $449 → $419 → $1.5k (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Score Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 42
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,347)
Top 25% $20k (exactly $20,264)
Top 5% $225k (exactly $225,487)
Developers, 2 yr 42
Released games 117
Announced 49
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 275% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, Score Attack; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Sports
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 35,668 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $20k, 1 in 20 over $220k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 27 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 49 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Assetto Corsa Rally · EA $29.99 8,757 87% 263k $7.9M (exactly $7,878,673) Supernova Games Studios
Librarian: Tidy Up the Arcane Library! $5.99 24,497 94% 735k $4.4M (exactly $4,402,111) ArtRising
Kayak VR: Mirage older $22.99 1,006 82% 30k $694k (exactly $693,838) Better Than Life
Metro Simulator 2 older $14.99 674 65% 20k $303k (exactly $303,098) KishMish Games
Torque Drift 2 · EA $19.99 376 62% 11k $225k (exactly $225,487) Grease Monkey Games
ZDSimulator $16.99 408 89% 12k $208k (exactly $207,958) ZDSimulator Team
Copa City: Matchday Manager $24.99 247 72% 7.4k $185k (exactly $185,176) Triple Espresso S.A.
Endless ATC older $7.99 512 97% 15k $123k (exactly $122,726) startgrid
Shelves and Sorcery: Tidy Up the Enchanted Shop $5.99 627 93% 19k $113k (exactly $112,672) Teddy Bear Games LLC
Cleaning Up The Puzzle Gallery $4.99 605 95% 18k $91k (exactly $90,568) Th3GameStudio
Magic Forge Tycoon $11.99 82 69% 2.5k $29k (exactly $29,495) Clever Trickster Studio, Clever Trickst… (Clever Trickster Studio, Clever Trickster Productions)
True Disc Golf $24.99 32 90% 960 $24k (exactly $23,990) Sportsmanlike Games
Racket Pinball $19.99 37 91% 1.1k $22k (exactly $22,189) NiVision

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.