Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Robots

Of 30 developers who shipped a Robot Immersive Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 63 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×1.2 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $210k, ×141 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 63 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 63 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $150 → $8.5k → $1.8k → $2.1k → $1.8k → $2.2k (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Top 25% $35k (exactly $34,627)
Top 5% $212k (exactly $211,525)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 100
Announced 63
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Action, Life Sim
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 3,244 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $34k, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 63 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Main Assembly older $19.99 1,004 83% 30k $602k (exactly $602,099) Bad Yolk Games
IRON REBELLION $24.99 772 84% 23k $579k (exactly $578,768) Black Beach Studio
Nucleares older $14.99 1,121 84% 34k $504k (exactly $504,114) Iván Marcelo Pretti
Ctrl Alt Ego older $19.99 737 92% 22k $442k (exactly $441,979) MindThunk
Mech Mechanic Simulator older $19.99 538 61% 16k $323k (exactly $322,639) Polyslash
JUNKPUNK · EA older $15.99 641 60% 19k $307k (exactly $307,488) SCT
ACTION SANDBOX older $9.99 787 73% 24k $236k (exactly $235,864) Vona Soft
World End Diner $16.99 415 93% 12k $212k (exactly $211,525) Andymente
JOY OF PROGRAMMING - Software Engineering Simulator $17.99 378 76% 11k $204k (exactly $204,007) Prof. Scherer
Ereban: Shadow Legacy older $19.99 271 85% 8.1k $163k (exactly $162,519) Baby Robot Games
我的机器人女友 $4.99 911 90% 27k $136k (exactly $136,377) 时娱游戏
Sky End Market · EA $18.99 164 96% 4.9k $93k (exactly $93,431) Andymente
MyRobot $17.99 140 72% 4.2k $76k (exactly $75,558) sgthale
S.A.N.D.Y. - Beach Cleaner $5.99 322 92% 9.7k $58k (exactly $57,863) 20 CALLS
PATLABOR the Case Files $34.99 47 65% 1.4k $49k (exactly $49,336) Chime
Mech Builder 3D $14.99 77 93% 2.3k $35k (exactly $34,627) Don Pachi
DON'T MOVE $7.99 18 55% 540 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) SPECTACULAR-OCULAR

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.