Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Platformer Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Puzzle Platformer

Of 58 developers who shipped a Puzzle Platformer Immersive Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 72 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build. 30 developers shipped in the last year and 72 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 735% on the market, 72 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 58
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $718 → $300 → $1.9k → $120 → $2.4k → $1.7k → $419 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 58
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,588)
Top 5% $154k (exactly $153,710)
Developers, 2 yr 58
Released games 136
Announced 72
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 735% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, Puzzle Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 5,618 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $150, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 8 in 10 of the 33 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 72 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DEEMO -Reborn- older $24.99 3,188 87% 96k $2.4M (exactly $2,390,044) Rayark International Limited
Supraworld · EA $29.99 1,471 91% 44k $1.3M (exactly $1,323,459) Supra Games
I am an Air Traffic Controller 4 older $59.99 566 79% 17k $1.0M (exactly $1,018,630) TechnoBrain
Vanity Fair: The Pursuit older $6.99 4,014 87% 120k $842k (exactly $841,736) 木焱工作室
Game of Fate 2: A Century's Promise $15.99 1,054 78% 32k $506k (exactly $505,604) KARMAGAME HK LIMITED
Mosa Lina older $7.99 2,014 95% 60k $483k (exactly $482,756) Stuffed Wombat, Silkersoft, Lukke, Roll… (Stuffed Wombat, Silkersoft, Lukke, Rollin'Barrel)
Game Of Fate 3:Clash Of Crowns $16.79 734 85% 22k $370k (exactly $369,716) KARMAGAME HK LIMITED
Game of Fate: Chasing Through Time $10.99 986 88% 30k $325k (exactly $325,084) KARMAGAME HK LIMITED
Paper Bride 2 Zangling Village older $9.99 1,010 91% 30k $303k (exactly $302,697) HeartBeat Plus
Wildfire older $14.99 452 83% 14k $203k (exactly $203,264) Sneaky Bastards
FUTA RUNNER: Big Dick Edition $6.99 733 66% 22k $154k (exactly $153,710) Evil Boobs Cult
Moving Houses $13.99 232 72% 7.0k $97k (exactly $97,370) Gordon Little
DEVIL'S WAY $4.99 208 45% 6.2k $31k (exactly $31,138) Rose Game Studio
火起雪中寺 $10.99 59 77% 1.8k $19k (exactly $19,452) 江湖奇事录
Escaping Wonderland $19.99 32 87% 960 $19k (exactly $19,190) Cortopia Studios
禁地直播 $4.99 109 88% 3.3k $16k (exactly $16,317) Say Hi Hi

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.