Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Precision Platformer

Only 12 developers shipped a Precision Platformer Immersive Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Train Plus Japan Drive Western Japan Trains! Rapid Service Edition, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $270 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 11 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 11 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $228 → $267 → $449 → $3.6k → $180 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $180 (exactly $180)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,599)
Top 5% $27k (exactly $27,296)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 31
Announced 11
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, Precision Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 86% positive over 86 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $27k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Best Forklift Operator older $19.99 224 75% 6.7k $134k (exactly $134,333) Simmersiv
Brush Burial older $6.99 276 87% 8.3k $58k (exactly $57,877) Knife Demon Software
Switchball HD older $12.99 145 88% 4.4k $57k (exactly $56,506) Atomic Elbow
Train Plus Japan Drive Western Japan Trains! Rapid Service Edition $64.99 14 78% 420 $27k (exactly $27,296) SHINISE GAMES, MFC STUDIO
Japanese Rail Sim: Operating the MEITETSU Line older $8.99 63 61% 1.9k $17k (exactly $16,991) Sonic Powered Co.,Ltd.
Hotdangle $17.99 11 100% 330 $5.9k (exactly $5,937) Devorange Studio Inc
Train Deluxe 2026 Kurakyu $29.99 4 0% 120 $3.6k (exactly $3,599) MFC STUDIO, KOSEI YASUDA
4番線 | Platform 4 $4.99 13 84% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) MFC STUDIO, KOSEI YASUDA
Hungry Caveman older $2.99 21 80% 630 $1.9k (exactly $1,884) RainbowStudio
BOO! ARE YOU SCARED? $0.99 38 94% 1.1k $1.1k (exactly $1,129) Paphnutius
Orange Simulator $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Vasileios Bekiaris
Down The Stairs: The Game $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) LoftCore Studio
Sudoku-Zen $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) walkgame
Rookie to Master Driver $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Liu Polun
Ragdoll Training Center $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Meaty Ore Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.