Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Platformer Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Platformer

Of 51 developers who shipped a Platformer Immersive Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 62 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, ×0.3 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180. 62 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper, while revenue is up 530% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 530% on the market, 62 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 51
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $479 → $1.6k → $3.9k → $599 → $809 → $449 → $419 (still earning) → $7.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 51
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $8.1k (exactly $8,095)
Top 5% $1.2M (exactly $1,223,388)
Developers, 2 yr 51
Released games 117
Announced 62
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 530% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Adventure, Action
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 19,422 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $480, 1 in 4 over $8.0k, 1 in 20 over $1.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 36 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 62 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Indiana Jones and the Great Circle $69.99 13,058 89% 392k $27M (exactly $27,417,883) MachineGames
Supraworld · EA $29.99 1,471 91% 44k $1.3M (exactly $1,323,459) Supra Games
The Break-In $19.99 2,040 87% 61k $1.2M (exactly $1,223,388) jorgen games Ltd, Oliver Josh
Twisted Tower $14.99 1,827 93% 55k $822k (exactly $821,602) Atmos Games
Disney Epic Mickey 2: The Power of Two older $19.99 973 78% 29k $584k (exactly $583,508) Junction Point
Mosa Lina older $7.99 2,014 95% 60k $483k (exactly $482,756) Stuffed Wombat, Silkersoft, Lukke, Roll… (Stuffed Wombat, Silkersoft, Lukke, Rollin'Barrel)
Light Up The Town $14.99 715 95% 21k $322k (exactly $321,536) Meadow Studios
Wildfire older $14.99 452 83% 14k $203k (exactly $203,264) Sneaky Bastards
AWAY: The Survival Series older $19.99 318 55% 9.5k $191k (exactly $190,705) Breaking Walls
Togges older $19.99 186 64% 5.6k $112k (exactly $111,544) Regular Studio
Cat Island Petrichor $14.99 87 70% 2.6k $39k (exactly $39,124) LuminousNote
Completely Stretchy $18.99 63 87% 1.9k $36k (exactly $35,891) Warp Digital, Dan Ferguson
Tiny Treats $19.99 48 97% 1.4k $29k (exactly $28,786) Hans Woofington
Escaping Wonderland $19.99 32 87% 960 $19k (exactly $19,190) Cortopia Studios
Don't Look Behind $4.99 81 58% 2.4k $12k (exactly $12,126) Simon Au Yeung

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.