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Should I ship a Pirate Immersive Sim?
Immersive Sim + Pirates
Only 7 developers shipped a Pirate Immersive Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Following Seas, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $17k, ×12 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $6.0k; 1 in 20 cleared $68k, ×46 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 19 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $6.0k (exactly $5,998) |
|---|---|
| Median | $17k (exactly $17,383) |
| Top 25% | $50k (exactly $50,366) |
| Top 5% | $69k (exactly $68,804) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 19 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 500% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Immersive Sim
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- Pirates
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Immersive Sim
- Price point
- $14.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 1,923 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $6.0k. 19 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Immersive Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Trading Card GameStrong odds
- + MinigamesStrong odds
- + WesternStrong odds
- + BoxingStrong odds
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + RomanceFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Split ScreenFair
Comparable games
Sins of a Solar Empire: Trinity® 2011 · $206k 
Timeloop: Sink Again Beach 2022 · $126k 
Following Seas 2025 · EA · $69k 
Sea Dogs 2018 · $58k 
Sail 2022 · EA · $58k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sins of a Solar Empire: Trinity® | older | $9.99 | 687 78% | 21k | $206k (exactly $205,894) | Ironclad Games Corporation, Stardock En… (Ironclad Games Corporation, Stardock Entertainment) |
| | Timeloop: Sink Again Beach | older | $11.99 | 350 90% | 11k | $126k (exactly $125,895) | Fang's Lab, Flatcoon |
| | Following Seas | · EA | $14.99 | 153 76% | 4.6k | $69k (exactly $68,804) | Whipstaff Games |
| | Sea Dogs | older | $11.99 | 162 75% | 4.9k | $58k (exactly $58,271) | Akella |
| | Sail | · EA older | $14.99 | 128 72% | 3.8k | $58k (exactly $57,562) | Red Team Interactive Inc., Continuum XR |
 | Curse of Black Bone | older | $14.99 | 123 61% | 3.7k | $55k (exactly $55,313) | Entropy Digital Entertainment |
 | Revenge of Black Bone | $14.99 | 112 64% | 3.4k | $50k (exactly $50,366) | Entropy Digital Entertainment | |
 | VR Regatta - The Sailing Game | older | $9.99 | 116 79% | 3.5k | $35k (exactly $34,765) | MarineVerse |
 | Hazeron Starship | older | $19.99 | 55 70% | 1.7k | $33k (exactly $32,984) | Hazeron Freehold LLC |
 | Racket Pinball | $19.99 | 37 91% | 1.1k | $22k (exactly $22,189) | NiVision | |
 | Resort Island Simulator | $9.99 | 58 74% | 1.7k | $17k (exactly $17,383) | Tenjin Games | |
 | Seven Seas: Adventures | · EA | $24.99 | 8 25% | 240 | $6.0k (exactly $5,998) | Concept Games |
 | Yolo Space Hacker 2 - Mission Bahamas | $19.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $2.4k (exactly $2,399) | BKNLab | |
 | ChronoQuest VR | $7.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Wopper |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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