Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + Party Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Party Game Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Party Game

Of 30 developers who shipped a Party Game Immersive Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×2.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build. 27 developers shipped in the last year and 55 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 55 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Party Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $299 (still earning) → $180 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Party Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 5% $41k (exactly $40,553)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 35
Announced 55
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 800% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, Party Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Co-op, PvP
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 845 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $360, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $40k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 55 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Motion Soccer PRO $19.99 223 79% 6.7k $134k (exactly $133,733) Ivanovich Games
Baking Bad · EA $10.99 123 32% 3.7k $41k (exactly $40,553) FunkyArmor
Tidy Up Together $5.99 221 80% 6.6k $40k (exactly $39,714) Malum Games
Super Shout Showdown · EA $7.99 111 83% 3.3k $27k (exactly $26,607) Rezero Studio
All On Board! $9.99 25 68% 750 $7.5k (exactly $7,492) The Game Kitchen
Idiom Royale $1.99 91 63% 2.7k $5.4k (exactly $5,433) NyxWorks
Come See My Hole older $0.99 143 96% 4.3k $4.2k (exactly $4,247) Trip Time Games
Dough or Die · EA $7.99 16 100% 480 $3.8k (exactly $3,835) Soundbyte Interactive
Cozy Holiday $4.99 13 100% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Centurion Developments
Otaku VR: Sit-ups and Kisses · EA $9.99 6 100% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) LUO WENJUN
Just Eat Sushi! $3.00 16 93% 480 $1.4k (exactly $1,440) Aurora Colored Bird

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.