Do I ship it?

Games › Immersive Sim › Immersive Sim + Parkour

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Parkour Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Parkour

Of 21 developers who shipped a Parkour Immersive Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×1.5 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $250k, ×168 the market median. Revenue is up 590% on the market; 32 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 590% on the market, 32 announced, ×5.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Parkour
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $5.2k → $598 → $4.2k → $449 → $3.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Parkour: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $480 (exactly $480)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,242)
Top 25% $25k (exactly $25,187)
Top 5% $251k (exactly $251,149)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 71
Announced 32
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 590% on the market, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, Parkour; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, 3D Platformer, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $21.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $21.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 8,035 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $25k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 9 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Dishonored 2 2016 · $39M DEATHLOOP 2021 · $36M Session: Skate Sim 2022 · $16M Dishonored®: Death of the Outsider™ 2017 · $8.8M Liftoff®: FPV Drone Racing 2018 · $8.2M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dishonored 2 older $29.99 42,988 90% 1.3M $39M (exactly $38,676,304) Arkane Studios
DEATHLOOP older $59.99 19,910 76% 597k $36M (exactly $35,832,027) Arkane Studios
Session: Skate Sim older $39.99 13,460 83% 404k $16M (exactly $16,147,962) crea-ture Studios Inc.
Dishonored®: Death of the Outsider™ older $29.99 9,801 86% 294k $8.8M (exactly $8,817,960) Arkane Studios
Liftoff®: FPV Drone Racing older $19.99 13,633 95% 409k $8.2M (exactly $8,175,710) LuGus Studios
Rooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Game $24.99 6,638 94% 199k $5.0M (exactly $4,976,509) MLMEDIA
American Theft 80s older $19.99 1,029 73% 31k $617k (exactly $617,091) Noble Muffins
Scoot · EA older $12.99 1,380 90% 41k $538k (exactly $537,786) Seafront Games
Brush Burial: Gutter World $9.99 838 93% 25k $251k (exactly $251,149) Knife Demon Software
New Heights: Realistic Climbing and Bouldering $21.99 248 89% 7.4k $164k (exactly $163,606) Wikkl Works
Completely Stretchy $18.99 63 87% 1.9k $36k (exactly $35,891) Warp Digital, Dan Ferguson
GLUM · EA $12.49 78 64% 2.3k $29k (exactly $29,227) CinderCat Games
Umami Grove $19.99 42 92% 1.3k $25k (exactly $25,187) Pomshine Games
Drunk Builder Simulator $2.99 78 39% 2.3k $7.0k (exactly $6,997) Viper
ACRODRIFT: FPV Drone Simulator · EA $14.99 14 85% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Dueking Studio
Sportvida CyberDash $19.99 7 85% 210 $4.2k (exactly $4,198) ible Sportvida
Go-Kart Simulator · EA $3.99 29 58% 870 $3.5k (exactly $3,471) Payna Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.