Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + Mechs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mech Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Mechs

Only 12 developers shipped a Mech Immersive Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, MechWarrior 5: Clans, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.6k, ×1.8 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $5.0M, ×3342 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 15 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 15 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Mechs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Mechs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $2.6k (exactly $2,634)
Top 25% $579k (exactly $578,768)
Top 5% $5.0M (exactly $5,006,830)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 27
Announced 15
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Mechs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim
Price point
$12.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 8,583 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $2.6k, 1 in 4 over $570k, 1 in 20 over $5.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 4 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
MechWarrior 5: Clans $29.99 5,565 74% 167k $5.0M (exactly $5,006,830) Piranha Games Inc.
Psycho Patrol R · EA $39.99 2,090 88% 63k $2.5M (exactly $2,507,373) Consumer Softproducts
Model Builder: Complete Edition older $19.99 1,058 74% 32k $634k (exactly $634,483) Moonlit S.A.
IRON REBELLION $24.99 772 84% 23k $579k (exactly $578,768) Black Beach Studio
Mech Mechanic Simulator older $19.99 538 61% 16k $323k (exactly $322,639) Polyslash
ACTION SANDBOX older $9.99 787 73% 24k $236k (exactly $235,864) Vona Soft
Japanese Rail Sim: Journey to Kyoto older $59.99 111 87% 3.3k $200k (exactly $199,767) Sonic Powered Co.,Ltd.
Mech Builder older $9.99 507 73% 15k $152k (exactly $151,948) Don Pachi
OVRLRD · EA older $29.99 96 85% 2.9k $86k (exactly $86,371) OVRLRD
PATLABOR the Case Files $34.99 47 65% 1.4k $49k (exactly $49,336) Chime
Mech Builder 3D $14.99 77 93% 2.3k $35k (exactly $34,627) Don Pachi
Digital Anima: Virtual Lifeform Care Kit $4.39 20 75% 600 $2.6k (exactly $2,634) dankhearts, 双異典
The Giant Crab in Space $7.99 5 60% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) TensionSplice
Robot Fury: Mech Combat Simulator · EA $12.99 3 0% 90 $1.2k (exactly $1,169) Hard Shark Games
Meteor Expedition · EA $7.99 2 50% 60 $479 (exactly $479) GQ
Hollow Meridian $3.99 2 50% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Hans Tanderadey

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.