Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + JRPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a JRPG Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + JRPG

Of 43 developers who shipped a JRPG Immersive Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 54 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $11k, ×7.0 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $260k, ×178 the market median. Revenue is up 205% on the market; 54 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 205% on the market, 54 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + JRPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 43
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $23k → $66k → $33k → $9.7k → $18k → $26k (still earning) → $11k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + JRPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 43
Bottom 30% $3.5k (exactly $3,498)
Median $11k (exactly $10,553)
Top 25% $47k (exactly $46,715)
Top 5% $266k (exactly $266,165)
Developers, 2 yr 43
Released games 98
Announced 54
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 205% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
JRPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, JRPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Simulation, Dating Sim
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Cute, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 9,374 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.5k, median $11k, 1 in 4 over $46k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.5k. 7 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 54 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Test older $1.99 19,599 96% 588k $1.2M (exactly $1,170,060) Randumb Studios
Wagotabi: A Japanese Journey $9.99 1,543 98% 46k $462k (exactly $462,437) Wagotabi Limited
RPG Time: The Legend of Wright older $29.99 417 88% 13k $375k (exactly $375,175) 株式会社デスクワークス
Soul Touch $9.99 1,007 97% 30k $302k (exactly $301,798) URAYAHA.TECH
The Endless Abyss: A Busty Cop’s Corrupted Soul $12.99 683 71% 20k $266k (exactly $266,165) GiraffeLiam
Your Mom $1.99 4,157 95% 125k $248k (exactly $248,173) Mom Game
万词破 - 单词女友 $14.99 448 89% 13k $201k (exactly $201,466) 万词破学游组
Trap of MUSK:Europe Night older $29.99 204 67% 6.1k $184k (exactly $183,539) IDEA FACTORY, Frontier Works
Fishing Paradiso older $14.99 301 91% 9.0k $135k (exactly $135,360) Odencat
MASSAGE MY EX-BULLY $6.99 519 70% 16k $109k (exactly $108,834) Warumiyo
Heroines Through My Lens $19.99 168 87% 5.0k $101k (exactly $100,750) Storytaco
Lustful Dead 🔞 $9.99 267 49% 8.0k $80k (exactly $80,020) BanzaiProject
Let's Start Managing the Sexual Relief Department! $7.99 315 73% 9.5k $76k (exactly $75,506) むくどりGames
Pact Between Us $6.99 267 86% 8.0k $56k (exactly $55,990) MYSTERY CROWN

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.