Do I ship it?

GamesSolitaireSolitaire + Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Horror Solitaire game?

Solitaire + Horror

Of 22 developers who shipped a Horror Solitaire game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150, ×0.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. Revenue is down 100% on the market, with 20 games announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 20 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Solitaire + Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $2.3k → $11k → $2.6k → $60
Outcomes for Solitaire + Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $11,033)
Top 5% $83k (exactly $83,416)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 62
Announced 20
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Solitaire
effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table
Horror
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Solitaire; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Game, Strategy, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Dark, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 2,904 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $150, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $83k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Solitaire with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Female ProtagonistFair9 devs · median $3.3k · 9 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair8 devs · median $2.3k · 3 announced
  3. + ManagementFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 17 announced
  4. + Immersive SimFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  5. + MahjongFair20 devs · median $1.1k · 6 announced
  6. + RomanceFair11 devs · median $1.1k · 8 announced
  7. + CraftingFair12 devs · median $809 · 20 announced
  8. + SimulationFair56 devs · median $718 · 46 announced
  9. + FantasyFair48 devs · median $479 · 39 announced
  10. + TacticalFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  11. + SportsFair14 devs · median $479 · 5 announced
  12. + Turn-Based CombatFair26 devs · median $450 · 31 announced

All 77 pairs on the Solitaire page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Forbidden Solitaire $15.99 2,245 96% 67k $1.1M (exactly $1,076,926) Grey Alien Games, Night Signal Entertai… (Grey Alien Games, Night Signal Entertainment)
Occlude $7.99 348 86% 10k $83k (exactly $83,416) Tributary Games
Photogenic Minds : Identity older $19.99 89 88% 2.7k $53k (exactly $53,373) 727 Not Hound
Jewel Match Twilight Solitaire older $9.99 119 94% 3.6k $36k (exactly $35,664) Suricate Software
Deca older $18.99 43 83% 1.3k $24k (exactly $24,497) Chrome Horizon 3D
Last Farewell older $14.99 52 69% 1.6k $23k (exactly $23,384) Flat Tail Studios AB
Zombie Solitaire older $8.99 73 76% 2.2k $20k (exactly $19,688) rokaplay
Dark Atlas: Infernum $14.99 39 82% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,538) Night Council Studio
Grizzly Man $8.99 52 90% 1.6k $14k (exactly $14,024) LCB Game Studio
WAGON $10.99 38 94% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,529) de_husk
KUNKUN League $2.99 123 98% 3.7k $11k (exactly $11,033) Seal
No Vacancy Tonight $8.99 24 100% 720 $6.5k (exactly $6,473) Momiji Games
Forest 6174 $2.99 29 82% 870 $2.6k (exactly $2,601) itandfeel
Cursed House 6 $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) LGT SIA
군대탈출 $3.99 4 50% 120 $479 (exactly $479) Gemma Soft

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.