Games › JRPG › JRPG + Historical
Should I ship a Historical JRPG?
JRPG + Historical
Of 20 developers who shipped a Historical JRPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $9.4k, ×15 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.0k; 1 in 20 cleared $24M, ×39376 the market median. Revenue is up 210% on the market; 39 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.9k (exactly $1,918) |
|---|---|
| Median | $9.4k (exactly $9,353) |
| Top 25% | $34k (exactly $33,762) |
| Top 5% | $25M (exactly $24,728,167) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 20 |
| Released games | 102 |
| Announced | 39 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 210% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- JRPG
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Historical
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- JRPG; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Action
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $69.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Anime
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $69.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 79% positive over 12,684 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.0k. 8 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
JRPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Mystery DungeonStrong odds
- + NinjaFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + ManagementFair
- + Souls-likeFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + LootFair
- + RoguelikeFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
Comparable games
Nioh 2 – The Complete Edition 2021 · $51M 
Nioh: Complete Edition 2017 · $44M 
Wo Long: Fallen Dynasty 2023 · $25M 
Nioh 3 2026 · $25M 
DYNASTY WARRIORS 8: Xtreme Legends Complete Edition 2014 · $18M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Nioh 2 – The Complete Edition | older | $49.99 | 33,892 87% | 1.0M | $51M (exactly $50,827,832) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | Nioh: Complete Edition | older | $49.99 | 29,580 78% | 887k | $44M (exactly $44,361,126) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | Wo Long: Fallen Dynasty | older | $39.99 | 20,873 49% | 626k | $25M (exactly $25,041,338) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | Nioh 3 | $69.99 | 11,777 78% | 353k | $25M (exactly $24,728,167) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. | |
| | DYNASTY WARRIORS 8: Xtreme Legends Complete Edition | older | $49.99 | 11,886 83% | 357k | $18M (exactly $17,825,434) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
 | WARRIORS OROCHI 4 | older | $59.99 | 4,424 85% | 133k | $8.0M (exactly $7,961,873) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
 | Fate/Samurai Remnant | older | $39.99 | 5,018 90% | 151k | $6.0M (exactly $6,020,095) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
 | Like a Dragon: Ishin! | older | $39.99 | 4,891 80% | 147k | $5.9M (exactly $5,867,733) | RGG Studio |
 | Banner of the Maid | older | $16.99 | 6,580 86% | 197k | $3.4M (exactly $3,353,826) | Azure Flame Studio |
 | Felvidek | older | $10.99 | 5,576 98% | 167k | $1.8M (exactly $1,838,407) | Jozef Pavelka, Vlado Ganaj |
 | 吞食天地之乱舞三国 | $13.99 | 271 92% | 8.1k | $114k (exactly $113,739) | FC Maker | |
 | Utawarerumono: ZAN | $39.99 | 85 77% | 2.6k | $102k (exactly $101,974) | AQUAPLUS | |
 | Forsaker:DingDing&Blade | $10.99 | 124 75% | 3.7k | $41k (exactly $40,883) | 圣剑提灯制作组 [BladeLanternStudios] | |
 | The Dawning Letters -Sunrise- | $6.99 | 161 95% | 4.8k | $34k (exactly $33,762) | 戏幻言制作组 | |
 | Be Missed and Remembered: The Letter from Mayoiga | $17.99 | 62 93% | 1.9k | $33k (exactly $33,461) | NEKONEKO-SOFT | |
 | 三国志·天下归心 | $9.99 | 88 69% | 2.6k | $26k (exactly $26,374) | 随浪游戏工作室 | |
 | RAVENSBURG | $14.99 | 45 95% | 1.4k | $20k (exactly $20,236) | Lilian Duleroux | |
 | 戦国英雄譚-Samurai Heroes- | $9.99 | 47 89% | 1.4k | $14k (exactly $14,086) | hizaniya games | |
 | Three Kingdoms : Restoration of Han | $12.99 | 24 33% | 720 | $9.4k (exactly $9,353) | Playnauts |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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