Do I ship it?

GamesJRPGJRPG + Hidden Object

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hidden Object JRPG?

JRPG + Hidden Object

Only 16 developers shipped a Hidden Object JRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Legend of Fancy Realm Remake, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.0k, ×9.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $670k, ×1071 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 24 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 24 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
JRPG + Hidden Object
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $718 → $6.0k → $9.9k → $1.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for JRPG + Hidden Object: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $6.0k (exactly $5,994)
Top 25% $21k (exactly $20,767)
Top 5% $672k (exactly $672,481)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 66
Announced 24
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

JRPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
JRPG, Hidden Object
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 2,501 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $6.0k, 1 in 4 over $20k, 1 in 20 over $670k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. All of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

JRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds12 devs · median $54k · 6 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  3. + NinjaFair7 devs · median $19k · 10 announced
  4. + RomanceFair153 devs · median $13k · 164 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair219 devs · median $13k · 265 announced
  6. + ManagementFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair41 devs · median $8.4k · 45 announced
  9. + LootFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair85 devs · median $5.2k · 103 announced
  11. + 2D PlatformerFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligenceFair25 devs · median $4.0k · 21 announced

All 142 pairs on the JRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Legend of Fancy Realm Remake $24.99 897 86% 27k $672k (exactly $672,481) USERJOY Technology Co.,Ltd.
Spooky Milk Life · EA $11.99 1,216 74% 36k $437k (exactly $437,395) MangoMango, Studio Ginkgo
DRAGON QUEST TREASURES older $49.99 257 77% 7.7k $385k (exactly $385,423) Square Enix, TOSE CO., LTD.
月藍傳奇REMAKE古文明之謎 older $19.99 244 93% 7.3k $146k (exactly $146,327) 天使蛋糕, 攸藍, 牙籤, 黃金, 咕咕咕, 鎧特
Escape from the Room of the Serving Doll older $6.99 451 84% 14k $95k (exactly $94,575) 桃山プロダクション
The Remake of the End of the Greatest RPG of All Time $17.99 146 86% 4.4k $79k (exactly $78,796) Coin Drop Games, Lucas Immanuel, jucobe… (Coin Drop Games, Lucas Immanuel, jucobee, Kyle Chuang)
Lulu & Ennoi - Sacred Suit Girls older $7.99 266 78% 8.0k $64k (exactly $63,760) SmallSqurriel
恶魔迷宫 | Evil Maze older $1.99 807 76% 24k $48k (exactly $48,178) ZOV GAME STUDIO
Red Line older $9.99 155 97% 4.7k $46k (exactly $46,454) Rolling Cat Studio
Fairune Collection older $9.99 124 87% 3.7k $37k (exactly $37,163) SKIPMORE, ESQUADRA,inc.
DungeonCrawlers $8.99 77 68% 2.3k $21k (exactly $20,767) KusanohitoCreative
Monmusu Paradise ~Visitors~ $4.99 66 74% 2.0k $9.9k (exactly $9,880) Siluman Soft
Hers' Alms $15.99 16 50% 480 $7.7k (exactly $7,675) Kai Studio
Eliza’s Secret Potion $7.99 32 68% 960 $7.7k (exactly $7,670) らて茶場
Money And Lady | 财貌双全 $9.99 20 35% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) Happy DLC Studio
Elf Adventure: The Lost Castle $6.99 14 28% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) 430Games
Nekopedia: Find Her Tail $2.99 17 100% 510 $1.5k (exactly $1,525) Hunny Bunny Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.